Penn National Gaming Stock Performance

PENN Stock  USD 13.88  0.28  2.06%   
The company holds a Beta of 2.0, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Penn National will likely underperform. At this point, Penn National Gaming has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to check Penn National's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Penn National Gaming performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Penn National Gaming has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow1.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-541.2 M

Penn National Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,528  in Penn National Gaming on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (143.50) from holding Penn National Gaming or give up 9.39% of portfolio value over 90 days. Penn National Gaming is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.7841% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Penn, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Penn National is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.44 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Penn National Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Penn Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.88 90 days 13.88 
about 64.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Penn National to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 64.19 (This Penn National Gaming probability density function shows the probability of Penn Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.0 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Penn National will likely underperform. Additionally Penn National Gaming has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Penn National Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Penn National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Penn National Gaming. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0013.8016.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4216.2219.02
Details

Penn National Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Penn National is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Penn National's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Penn National Gaming, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Penn National within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.00
σ
Overall volatility
0.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Penn National Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Penn National for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Penn National Gaming can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Penn National Gaming generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.58 B. Net Loss for the year was (313.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.73 B.
Penn National Gaming has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Penn National Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Penn Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Penn National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Penn National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments706.6 M

Penn National Fundamentals Growth

Penn Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Penn National, and Penn National fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Penn Stock performance.

About Penn National Performance

By examining Penn National's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Penn National's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Penn National is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
PENN Entertainment, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated entertainment, sports content, and casino gaming experiences in North America. PENN Entertainment, Inc. was founded in 1972 and is based in Wyomissing, Pennsylvania. Penn Entertainment operates under Resorts Casinos classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 21973 people.

Things to note about Penn National Gaming performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Penn National for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Penn National Gaming help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Penn National Gaming generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.58 B. Net Loss for the year was (313.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.73 B.
Penn National Gaming has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Penn National's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Penn National's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Penn National's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Penn National's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Penn National's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Penn National's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Penn National's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Penn National's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Penn National's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Penn National's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Penn National's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Penn National Gaming offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Penn National's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Penn National Gaming Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Penn National Gaming Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Penn National Gaming. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could Penn diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penn National. Anticipated expansion of Penn directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Penn National data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Penn National Gaming requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Penn's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Penn National's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Penn National's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Penn National's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Penn National should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Penn National's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.