Is Penn National Stock a Good Investment?

Penn National Investment Advice

  PENN
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Penn National Gaming stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Penn National Gaming. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Penn National in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Penn National's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Penn National's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Penn National navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space and any emerging trends that could impact Penn National's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Penn National's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Penn National is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Penn National pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Penn National's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Penn National Gaming stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Penn National Gaming is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Cautious Hold
Our recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Penn National. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Penn National is not overpriced, please check all Penn National Gaming fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Penn National Gaming has a price to earning of 24.42 X, we recommend you to check out Penn National Gaming market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Penn National Stock

Researching Penn National's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.0. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Penn National Gaming has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.78. The entity recorded a loss per share of 3.52. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Penn National had 4423:1000 split on the 4th of November 2013.
To determine if Penn National is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Penn National's research are outlined below:
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.36 B. Net Loss for the year was (490 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.02 B.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FMR LLC Adjusts Stake in PENN Entertainment Inc
Penn National uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Penn National Gaming. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Penn National's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
15th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
15th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Penn National's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Penn National's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2002-02-04
2001-12-310.080.090.0112 
2000-04-25
2000-03-310.050.060.0120 
1999-07-28
1999-06-300.050.04-0.0120 
1998-10-27
1998-09-300.050.04-0.0120 
1997-11-04
1997-09-300.030.02-0.0133 
1995-10-19
1995-09-300.020.030.0150 
1995-07-25
1995-06-300.020.030.0150 
2017-04-27
2017-03-310.080.06-0.0225 

Know Penn National's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Penn National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Penn National Gaming backward and forwards among themselves. Penn National's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Penn National's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
2.8 M
Armistice Capital, Llc2024-06-30
2.6 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
2.5 M
Sei Investments Co2024-06-30
2.5 M
Newedge Wealth, Llc2024-09-30
1.5 M
Long Focus Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.5 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-06-30
1.5 M
Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Co2024-06-30
1.5 M
Hsbc Holdings Plc2024-06-30
1.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
18.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
16.4 M
Note, although Penn National's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Penn National's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 3.06 B.

Market Cap

1.73 Billion

Penn National's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Equity(0.15)(0.16)
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.09) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.04 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.04.
Determining Penn National's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Penn National is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Penn National's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Penn National's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Penn National's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Evaluate Penn National's management efficiency

As of the 21st of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to -0.04. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to 0.02. At this time, Penn National's Other Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 21st of November 2024, Net Tangible Assets is likely to grow to about 839.9 M, though Return On Tangible Assets are likely to grow to (0.04). Penn National's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Penn National manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 21.04  22.09 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(7.32)(7.69)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 36.05  37.85 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.24  1.30 
Enterprise Value Multiple 36.05  37.85 
Price Fair Value 1.24  1.30 
Enterprise Value1.7 B925.6 M
Leadership effectiveness at Penn National Gaming is a strong indicator of its financial stability. We analyze various metrics to provide insights into the stock's investment viability.
Beta
2.086

Basic technical analysis of Penn Stock

As of the 21st of November, Penn National holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0211, semi deviation of 2.03, and Coefficient Of Variation of 5358.85. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Penn National, as well as the relationship between them.

Penn National's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Penn National insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Penn National's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Penn National insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Penn National's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Penn National issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Penn National Gaming uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Penn bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Penn National Gaming has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Penn National's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Penn National's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Penn National's intraday indicators

Penn National intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Penn National stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Penn National Corporate Filings

13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
7th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
12th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
23rd of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
Penn National time-series forecasting models is one of many Penn National's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Penn National's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Penn Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Penn National that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Penn media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Penn internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Penn data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Penn National news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Penn National relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Penn National's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Penn National alpha.

Penn National Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Penn National can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Penn National Gaming Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Penn National's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Penn. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Penn can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Penn National Gaming. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Penn National's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Penn National and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Penn National news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Penn National.

Penn National Corporate Management

Todd GeorgeExecutive OperationsProfile
Richard PrimusSenior OfficerProfile
Aaron RosenthalSenior OperationsProfile
Eric SchippersSenior FoundationProfile
Benjamin LevyHead InteractiveProfile
Jennifer WeissmanSenior OfficerProfile
When determining whether Penn National Gaming offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Penn National's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Penn National Gaming Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Penn National Gaming Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Penn National Gaming. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penn National. If investors know Penn will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Penn National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.089
Earnings Share
(3.52)
Revenue Per Share
41.491
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.012
Return On Assets
(0.0008)
The market value of Penn National Gaming is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Penn that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Penn National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Penn National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Penn National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Penn National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Penn National's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Penn National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Penn National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.