Ammo Inc Stock Performance

POWW Stock  USD 1.68  0.06  3.70%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.44, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ammo will likely underperform. At this point, Ammo Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0024%. Please make sure to confirm Ammo's semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to decide if Ammo Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ammo Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, Ammo is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:25
Dividend Date
2017-02-06
Last Split Date
2017-02-07
1
OHC declares 0.546875 Series A Preferred dividend, record Dec 1 - Stock Titan
11/12/2025
2
Head-To-Head Contrast Outdoor vs. Rheinmetall
11/28/2025
3
Outdoor Posts Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By 0.06 EPS
12/04/2025
4
Outdoor Holding Company Announces Settlement in SEC Administrative Matter
12/16/2025
5
Outdoor Holding Company Announces Authorization of Share Repurchase Program
01/05/2026
6
Acquisition by Akhavan Houman of 15000 shares of Ammo subject to Rule 16b-3
01/07/2026
7
OUTDOOR HOLDING COMPANY TO CONDUCT THIRD QUARTER EARNINGS CALL ON FEBRUARY 9, 2026 AT 900 AM ET
01/13/2026
8
What to Expect from AMMOs Earnings - Benzinga
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow55.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.5 M

Ammo Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  173.00  in Ammo Inc on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (5.00) from holding Ammo Inc or give up 2.89% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ammo Inc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.0183% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Ammo, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ammo is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.71 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Ammo Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ammo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.68 90 days 1.68 
about 82.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ammo to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.03 (This Ammo Inc probability density function shows the probability of Ammo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ammo will likely underperform. Additionally Ammo Inc has an alpha of 0.0149, implying that it can generate a 0.0149 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ammo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ammo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ammo Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ammo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.684.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.934.95
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.162.382.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.03-0.010.00
Details

Ammo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ammo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ammo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ammo Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ammo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Ammo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ammo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ammo Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ammo Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ammo Inc may become a speculative penny stock
Ammo Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 49.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (65.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.14 M.
Ammo Inc currently holds about 29 M in cash with (10.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.25.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Inspire Advisors LLC Invests 283,000 in Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc. ISSC

Ammo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ammo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ammo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ammo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding117.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments30.2 M

Ammo Fundamentals Growth

Ammo Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ammo, and Ammo fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ammo Stock performance.

About Ammo Performance

Evaluating Ammo's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Ammo has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ammo has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 502.80  736.35 
Return On Tangible Assets(1.34)(1.27)
Return On Capital Employed(2.03)(1.93)
Return On Assets(1.03)(0.98)
Return On Equity(2.02)(1.92)

Things to note about Ammo Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ammo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ammo Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ammo Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ammo Inc may become a speculative penny stock
Ammo Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 49.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (65.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.14 M.
Ammo Inc currently holds about 29 M in cash with (10.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.25.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Inspire Advisors LLC Invests 283,000 in Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc. ISSC
Evaluating Ammo's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ammo's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ammo's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ammo's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ammo's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ammo's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ammo's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ammo's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ammo's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ammo's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ammo's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Ammo Stock Analysis

When running Ammo's price analysis, check to measure Ammo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ammo is operating at the current time. Most of Ammo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ammo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ammo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ammo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.