Ammo Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

POWW Stock  USD 1.29  0.01  0.78%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Ammo Inc is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ammo Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Ammo. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ammo Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Ammo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ammo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ammo Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.

Execute Ammo Buy or Sell Advice

The Ammo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ammo Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ammo Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ammo's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AmmoBuy Ammo
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Ammo Inc has a Mean Deviation of 2.77, Standard Deviation of 3.78 and Variance of 14.25
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Ammo Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Ammo is not overpriced, please confirm all Ammo Inc fundamentals, including its net income, book value per share, and the relationship between the revenue and total debt . Given that Ammo is a hitting penny stock territory we recommend to closely look at its number of shares shorted.

Ammo Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ammo Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ammo Inc may become a speculative penny stock
Ammo Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 145.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 55.41 M.
Ammo Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: DEADLINE ALERT for BMBL, MGX, POWW, FNA Law Offices of Howard G. ...

Ammo Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ammo's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ammo's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ammo daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ammo Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ammo returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ammo.
Mean Return
-0.22
Value At Risk
-5.26
Potential Upside
6.42
Standard Deviation
3.78
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ammo historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ammo Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Ammo, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ammo Inc back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Prescott General Partners Llc2024-09-30
587 K
Prescott Investors Inc2024-09-30
587 K
Empowered Funds, Llc2024-06-30
542.5 K
Orca Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
478.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
472.7 K
360 Financial, Inc.2024-09-30
444 K
Royal Capital Wealth Management, Llc2024-09-30
411.2 K
Parsons Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
351.8 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
329.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
6.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
5.2 M
Note, although Ammo's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ammo Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(1.3M)117.5M(95.1M)16.4M16.0M16.8M
Free Cash Flow(5.8M)(21.9M)(16.4M)23.0M24.6M25.8M
Depreciation4.5M4.9M17.3M17.5M18.8M19.8M
Other Non Cash Items1.2M4.0M4.1M1.2M1.2M749.9K
Capital Expenditures462.4K7.4M19.2M12.5M8.0M8.4M
Net Income(14.6M)(7.8M)33.2M(4.6M)(15.6M)(14.8M)
End Period Cash Flow884.3K118.3M23.3M39.6M55.6M58.4M
Change To Inventory364.5K(11.5M)(43.1M)4.7M8.8M9.2M
Change To Netincome1.9M1.8M4.3M921.5K1.1M2.0M
Net Borrowings2.6M675.6K(54.6M)(684.9K)(616.4K)(647.3K)
Investments(462.4K)(7.4M)(69.7M)(12.5M)(8.0M)(8.4M)

Ammo Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ammo or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ammo's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ammo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.70
σ
Overall volatility
3.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Ammo Volatility Alert

Ammo Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.28 and kurtosis of 1.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ammo's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ammo's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Ammo Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ammo's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ammo's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ammo and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ammo or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ammo's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ammo by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ammo to competition
FundamentalsAmmoPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.06-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0194-0.14
Profit Margin(0.16) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.12) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation117.03 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding118.76 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders26.91 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions28.37 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.62 M4.71 M
Price To Earning29.86 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.44 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.13 X11.42 X
Revenue145.05 M9.43 B
Gross Profit55.41 M27.38 B
EBITDA380.36 K3.9 B
Net Income(15.57 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents29 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.25 X5.01 X
Total Debt13.1 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.04 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.16 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.93 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations32.63 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.62 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.21) X3.12 X
Target Price2.25
Number Of Employees37418.84 K
Beta0.28-0.15
Market Capitalization153.2 M19.03 B
Total Asset399.9 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(37.62 M)9.33 B
Working Capital100.58 M1.48 B
Net Asset399.9 M
Note: Acquisition by Markley Harry S of 2608 shares of Ammo subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Ammo Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ammo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ammo Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ammo Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Ammo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ammo in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Apparel Thematic Idea Now

Apparel
Apparel Theme
Companies manufacturing textile accessories and apparel products. The Apparel theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Apparel Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch

Additional Tools for Ammo Stock Analysis

When running Ammo's price analysis, check to measure Ammo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ammo is operating at the current time. Most of Ammo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ammo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ammo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ammo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.