Red Cat Holdings Stock Performance

RCAT Stock  USD 12.45  1.05  9.21%   
Red Cat holds a performance score of 15 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company holds a Beta of 3.67, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Red Cat will likely underperform. Use Red Cat potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to analyze future returns on Red Cat.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Red Cat Holdings are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, Red Cat unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.26
Five Day Return
(5.24)
Year To Date Return
24.45
Ten Year Return
(96.04)
All Time Return
(100.00)
Last Split Factor
1:1200
Dividend Date
2019-08-01
Last Split Date
2019-08-01
1
Rockefeller Capital Management L.P. Makes New 546,000 Investment in Red Cat Holdings, Inc. RCAT
11/28/2025
2
Red Cat Index Shift Raises a Deeper Question About Its True Sector Identity
12/22/2025
3
Acquisition by Jeffrey Thompson of 4750 shares of Red Cat subject to Rule 16b-3
12/29/2025
4
Dow Jumps More Than 250 Points Investor Sentiment Improves, Fear Greed Index Moves To Neutral Zone
01/09/2026
5
Red Cat Holdings Is Up 10.4 percent After Issuing 2025 Revenue Guidance And Defense Expansion Update - Has The Bull Case Changed
01/21/2026
6
Red Cat Holdings Shares Retreat as Investors Secure Profits - primaryignition.com
01/27/2026
7
FPV Military Drones Emerge as High-Growth Defense Technology Signaling Multi-Billion-Dollar Revenue Opportunity
02/02/2026
8
Defiance Launches RCAX The First 2X Long ETF for Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
02/03/2026
9
Disposition of 10000 shares by Moe Christopher R. of Red Cat at 10.91 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/04/2026
10
Red Cat Trading Down 10.5 percent Heres What Happened
02/05/2026
11
Red Cat Trading 8.6 percent Higher Still a Buy
02/10/2026
12
Red Cat Shares Down 6.3 percent Time to Sell
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow3.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities4.2 M

Red Cat Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  614.00  in Red Cat Holdings on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  631.00  from holding Red Cat Holdings or generate 102.77% return on investment over 90 days. Red Cat Holdings is currently generating 1.4552% in daily expected returns and assumes 7.4886% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 67% of stocks are less volatile than Red, and 71% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Red Cat is expected to generate 9.97 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 9.97 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.19 per unit of risk.

Red Cat Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Red Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.45 90 days 12.45 
about 23.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Red Cat to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.61 (This Red Cat Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Red Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.67 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Red Cat will likely underperform. Additionally Red Cat Holdings has an alpha of 0.5163, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Red Cat Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Red Cat

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Red Cat Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.1011.5819.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.0013.4820.96
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.7519.5021.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.18-0.18-0.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Red Cat. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Red Cat's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Red Cat's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Red Cat Holdings.

Red Cat Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Red Cat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Red Cat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Red Cat Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Red Cat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.67
σ
Overall volatility
3.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Red Cat Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Red Cat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Red Cat Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Red Cat Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Red Cat Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (65.42 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.87 M).
Red Cat Holdings currently holds about 42.95 M in cash with (20.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.79.
Red Cat Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Red Cat Shares Down 6.3 percent Time to Sell

Red Cat Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Red Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Red Cat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Red Cat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.2 M

Red Cat Fundamentals Growth

Red Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Red Cat, and Red Cat fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Red Stock performance.

About Red Cat Performance

Assessing Red Cat's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Red Cat's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Red Cat is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand-145.1 K-137.9 K
Return On Tangible Assets 1.50  1.58 
Return On Capital Employed 1.62  1.70 
Return On Assets 1.50  1.58 
Return On Equity(0.34)(0.32)

Things to note about Red Cat Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Red Cat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Red Cat Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Red Cat Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Red Cat Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (65.42 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.87 M).
Red Cat Holdings currently holds about 42.95 M in cash with (20.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.79.
Red Cat Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Red Cat Shares Down 6.3 percent Time to Sell
Evaluating Red Cat's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Red Cat's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Red Cat's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Red Cat's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Red Cat's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Red Cat's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Red Cat's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Red Cat's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Red Cat's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Red Cat's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Red Cat's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Red Stock Analysis

When running Red Cat's price analysis, check to measure Red Cat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Red Cat is operating at the current time. Most of Red Cat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Red Cat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Red Cat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Red Cat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.