Red Cat Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| RCAT Stock | USD 8.97 1.67 22.88% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.35) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.17) | Wall Street Target Price 10.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.08) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.588 |
Using Red Cat hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Red Cat Holdings from the perspective of Red Cat response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Red Cat to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Red because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Red Cat after-hype prediction price | USD 9.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Red |
Red Cat After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Red Cat at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Red Cat or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Red Cat, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Red Cat Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Red Cat's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Red Cat's historical news coverage. Red Cat's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.87 and 17.59, respectively. We have considered Red Cat's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Red Cat is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Red Cat Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Red Cat Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Red Cat is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Red Cat backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Red Cat, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.99 | 8.36 | 0.26 | 2.94 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.97 | 9.23 | 2.90 |
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Red Cat Hype Timeline
Red Cat Holdings is at this time traded for 8.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.94. Red is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.23 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 2.9%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.99%. The volatility of related hype on Red Cat is about 565.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.91. Red Cat Holdings currently holds 2.27 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.04, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Red Cat Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Red Cat Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Red Cat's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Red Cat's future price movements. Getting to know how Red Cat's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Red Cat may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PLXS | Plexus Corp | (1.53) | 9 per month | 1.18 | 0.14 | 3.38 | (1.91) | 12.92 | |
| JBL | Jabil Circuit | 0.39 | 11 per month | 1.21 | 0.09 | 2.80 | (2.04) | 15.06 | |
| SANM | Sanmina | 6.83 | 7 per month | 1.42 | 0.05 | 2.44 | (2.64) | 15.90 | |
| MEI | Methode Electronics | 0.22 | 11 per month | 3.20 | 0.01 | 7.64 | (5.30) | 18.54 |
Red Cat Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Red price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Red using various technical indicators. When you analyze Red charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Red Cat Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Red Cat stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Red Cat Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Red Cat based on analysis of Red Cat hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Red Cat's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Red Cat's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Graham Number | 2.8 | 3.39 | 2.55 | Receivables Turnover | 7.04 | 11.37 | 2.74 |
Story Coverage note for Red Cat
The number of cover stories for Red Cat depends on current market conditions and Red Cat's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Red Cat is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Red Cat's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Red Cat Short Properties
Red Cat's future price predictability will typically decrease when Red Cat's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Red Cat Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Red Cat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Red Cat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 M |
Additional Tools for Red Stock Analysis
When running Red Cat's price analysis, check to measure Red Cat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Red Cat is operating at the current time. Most of Red Cat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Red Cat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Red Cat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Red Cat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.