Red Cat Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| RCAT Stock | USD 7.93 0.14 1.80% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Red Cat Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 7.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.78. Red Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Red Cat's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.39) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.07 | Wall Street Target Price 15 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.10) |
Using Red Cat hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Red Cat Holdings from the perspective of Red Cat response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Red Cat using Red Cat's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Red using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Red Cat's stock price.
Red Cat Short Interest
An investor who is long Red Cat may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Red Cat and may potentially protect profits, hedge Red Cat with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 8.3611 | Short Percent 0.2123 | Short Ratio 3.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 22.3 M | 50 Day MA 8.4942 |
Red Cat Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Red Cat's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Red. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Red can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Red Cat Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Red Cat's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Red Cat.
Red Cat Implied Volatility | 1.27 |
Red Cat's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Red Cat Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Red Cat's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Red Cat stock will not fluctuate a lot when Red Cat's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Red Cat Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 7.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.78. Red Cat after-hype prediction price | USD 7.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Red Cat to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Red Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Red Cat's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Red Cat's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Red Cat stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Red Cat's open interest, investors have to compare it to Red Cat's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Red Cat is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Red. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Red Cat Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Red price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Red using various technical indicators. When you analyze Red charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Red Cat's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1995-10-31 | Previous Quarter 65.9 M | Current Value 206.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 22.1 M |
Red Cat Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Red Cat Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 7.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Red Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Red Cat's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Red Cat Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Red Cat | Red Cat Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Red Cat Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Red Cat's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Red Cat's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.58 and 13.87, respectively. We have considered Red Cat's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Red Cat stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Red Cat stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.607 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6358 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0695 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 38.7819 |
Predictive Modules for Red Cat
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Red Cat Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Red Cat
For every potential investor in Red, whether a beginner or expert, Red Cat's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Red Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Red. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Red Cat's price trends.Red Cat Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Red Cat stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Red Cat could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Red Cat by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Red Cat Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Red Cat's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Red Cat's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Red Cat Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Red Cat stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Red Cat shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Red Cat stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Red Cat Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Red Cat Risk Indicators
The analysis of Red Cat's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Red Cat's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting red stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.96 | |||
| Variance | 48.4 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Red Stock Analysis
When running Red Cat's price analysis, check to measure Red Cat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Red Cat is operating at the current time. Most of Red Cat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Red Cat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Red Cat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Red Cat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.