Avita Medical Stock Performance
| RCEL Stock | USD 4.16 0.44 11.83% |
Avita Medical has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.27, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Avita Medical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Avita Medical is expected to be smaller as well. Avita Medical right now shows a risk of 3.57%. Please confirm Avita Medical sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Avita Medical will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Avita Medical are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unsteady technical and fundamental indicators, Avita Medical may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 11.83 | Five Day Return 3.48 | Year To Date Return 19.88 | Ten Year Return (47.01) | All Time Return (83.36) |
Last Split Factor 1:5 | Last Split Date 2020-06-30 |
1 | Acquisition by Reed Jan Stern of 2646 shares of Avita Medical at 14.17 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/28/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Mcnamara Robert of 2646 shares of Avita Medical at 14.17 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/12/2025 |
3 | AVITA Medical to Present at the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | 12/18/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Otoole David D of 1000 shares of Avita Medical at 17.05 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/09/2026 |
5 | AVITA Medical reports Q4 revenue of 17.6 million, secures new debt - Investing.com Nigeria | 01/14/2026 |
6 | AVITA Medical Analyst Rating Maintained Buy with 10 P - GuruFocus | 01/26/2026 |
7 | Lake Street Raises Price Target on AVITA Medical, Inc. to 3.50, Maintains Hold Rating | 02/09/2026 |
8 | AVITA Medical Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results | 02/12/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 14.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 12.5 M |
Avita Medical Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 395.00 in Avita Medical on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 21.00 from holding Avita Medical or generate 5.32% return on investment over 90 days. Avita Medical is currently generating 0.1469% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.5663% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 32% of stocks are less volatile than Avita, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Avita Medical Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Avita Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.16 | 90 days | 4.16 | about 10.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avita Medical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.84 (This Avita Medical probability density function shows the probability of Avita Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Avita Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Avita Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avita Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Avita Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Avita Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avita Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avita Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avita Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avita Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Avita Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avita Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avita Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Avita Medical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 71.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 58.82 M. | |
| Avita Medical currently holds about 84.17 M in cash with (31.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.67. | |
| Avita Medical has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from nypost.com: Why your eyes water more in the cold and how to stop it |
Avita Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avita Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avita Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avita Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.2 M |
Avita Medical Fundamentals Growth
Avita Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Avita Medical, and Avita Medical fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Avita Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -17.46 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.39 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.68) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.59) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 149.19 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 30.63 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 11.77 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.78 X | ||||
| Revenue | 71.61 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 58.82 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 63.74 M | ||||
| Net Income | (48.59 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 84.17 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.67 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.13 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 9.64 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.55) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (31.2 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.81) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 127.43 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 56.39 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (408.4 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (27.19 M) | ||||
About Avita Medical Performance
By examining Avita Medical's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Avita Medical's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Avita Medical is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 197.59 | 260.74 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.96) | (1.01) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (10.14) | (9.63) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.86) | (0.90) | |
| Return On Equity | 2.92 | 3.06 |
Things to note about Avita Medical performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Avita Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Avita Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Avita Medical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 71.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 58.82 M. | |
| Avita Medical currently holds about 84.17 M in cash with (31.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.67. | |
| Avita Medical has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from nypost.com: Why your eyes water more in the cold and how to stop it |
- Analyzing Avita Medical's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Avita Medical's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Avita Medical's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Avita Medical's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Avita Medical's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Avita Medical's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Avita Medical's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Avita Medical. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in discontinued. For more information on how to buy Avita Stock please use our How to buy in Avita Stock guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Avita Medical. Anticipated expansion of Avita directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Avita Medical assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (1.81) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Avita Medical using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Avita Medical's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Avita Medical's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Avita Medical's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Avita Medical should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Avita Medical's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.