Royal Caribbean Cruises Stock Performance

RCL Stock  USD 325.00  20.98  6.06%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Royal Caribbean holds a performance score of 9. The company holds a Beta of 1.9, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Royal Caribbean will likely underperform. Please check Royal Caribbean's expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Royal Caribbean's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Royal Caribbean Cruises are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting fundamental indicators, Royal Caribbean disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(6.17)
Five Day Return
14.34
Year To Date Return
14.61
Ten Year Return
284.11
All Time Return
3.5 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0101
Payout Ratio
0.2027
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
3.5
Dividend Date
2026-01-14
1
Disposition of 6985 shares by Richard Fain of Royal Caribbean at 310.65 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
2
Is It Too Late To Consider Royal Caribbean Cruises After A 308 percent Five-Year Run
01/09/2026
 
Royal Caribbean dividend paid on 14th of January 2026
01/14/2026
3
Cunard brings West End to the water with Theatre at Sea cruise
01/15/2026
4
Royal Caribbeans PortMiami Terminal G Highlights Growth And Sustainability Focus
01/21/2026
5
Bernstein names Big Beautiful tax refunds winners
01/22/2026
6
The best cruises to book this year for all budgets
01/26/2026
7
I went on my first cruise here are 15 things that surprised me about this type of travel
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow497 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.4 B

Royal Caribbean Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  27,686  in Royal Caribbean Cruises on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  6,912  from holding Royal Caribbean Cruises or generate 24.97% return on investment over 90 days. Royal Caribbean Cruises is generating 0.4231% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.4964% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 31% of stocks are less volatile than Royal, and above 92% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Royal Caribbean is expected to generate 4.69 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.69 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Royal Caribbean Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Royal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 325.00 90 days 325.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Royal Caribbean to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Royal Caribbean Cruises probability density function shows the probability of Royal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.9 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Royal Caribbean will likely underperform. Additionally Royal Caribbean Cruises has an alpha of 0.0946, implying that it can generate a 0.0946 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Royal Caribbean Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Royal Caribbean

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royal Caribbean Cruises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Royal Caribbean's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
342.48345.98349.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
252.53256.03380.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
351.05354.55358.05
Details
27 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
307.88338.33375.55
Details

Royal Caribbean Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Royal Caribbean is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Royal Caribbean's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Royal Caribbean Cruises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Royal Caribbean within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.90
σ
Overall volatility
19.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Royal Caribbean Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Royal Caribbean for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Royal Caribbean Cruises can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Royal Caribbean had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Royal Caribbean Cruises has 20.82 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.47, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Royal Caribbean Cruises has a current ratio of 0.28, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Royal to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Over 90.0% of Royal Caribbean shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of January 2026 Royal Caribbean paid $ 1.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from aol.com: I went on my first cruise here are 15 things that surprised me about this type of travel

Royal Caribbean Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Royal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Royal Caribbean's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royal Caribbean's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding279 M
Cash And Short Term Investments388 M

Royal Caribbean Fundamentals Growth

Royal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Royal Caribbean, and Royal Caribbean fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Royal Stock performance.

About Royal Caribbean Performance

By examining Royal Caribbean's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Royal Caribbean's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Royal Caribbean is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 10.06  7.43 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.15  0.14 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.09 
Return On Equity 0.44  0.46 

Things to note about Royal Caribbean Cruises performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Royal Caribbean for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Royal Caribbean Cruises help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Royal Caribbean had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Royal Caribbean Cruises has 20.82 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.47, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Royal Caribbean Cruises has a current ratio of 0.28, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Royal to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Over 90.0% of Royal Caribbean shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of January 2026 Royal Caribbean paid $ 1.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from aol.com: I went on my first cruise here are 15 things that surprised me about this type of travel
Evaluating Royal Caribbean's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Royal Caribbean's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Royal Caribbean's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Royal Caribbean's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Royal Caribbean's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Royal Caribbean's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Royal Caribbean's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Royal Caribbean's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Royal Caribbean's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Royal Caribbean's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Royal Caribbean's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Royal Caribbean Cruises is a strong investment it is important to analyze Royal Caribbean's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Royal Caribbean's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Royal Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Royal Caribbean Cruises. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Royal Caribbean. Anticipated expansion of Royal directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Royal Caribbean assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.381
Dividend Share
3.5
Earnings Share
15.6
Revenue Per Share
66.181
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.132
Understanding Royal Caribbean Cruises requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Royal's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Royal Caribbean's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Royal Caribbean's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Royal Caribbean's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Royal Caribbean should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Royal Caribbean's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.