Rocky Mountain Chocolate Stock Performance

RMCF Stock  USD 2.79  0.25  9.84%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Rocky Mountain holds a performance score of 13. The company holds a Beta of 0.72, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Rocky Mountain's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Rocky Mountain is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Rocky Mountain's maximum drawdown, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to make a quick decision on whether Rocky Mountain's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Rocky Mountain Chocolate are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly inconsistent fundamental indicators, Rocky Mountain reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.53
Five Day Return
11.89
Year To Date Return
31.61
Ten Year Return
(74.38)
All Time Return
(12.41)
Last Split Factor
105:100
Dividend Date
2021-10-15
Ex Dividend Date
2020-02-27
Last Split Date
2007-07-18
1
How Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Inc. stock performs after earnings - Market Performance Report Weekly Return Optimization Plans - newser.com
11/13/2025
2
Disposition of 6915 shares by Global Value Investment Corp. of Rocky Mountain at 1.6215 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/24/2025
3
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Signs Multiple Material Agreements - TradingView Track All Markets
12/19/2025
4
Acquisition by Keating Melvin L of 25248 shares of Rocky Mountain subject to Rule 16b-3
12/22/2025
5
Disposition of 6915 shares by Jeffrey Geygan of Rocky Mountain at 1.6215 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
6
Published on 2026-01-08 140504 - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
7
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Fiscal Q3 Earnings Snapshot
01/13/2026
8
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory Named Among the Top Franchises in Entrepreneur Magazines Franchise 500 Ranking
01/15/2026
9
Rocky Mountain Stock Slips Post Q3 Earnings Despite Margin Improvement
01/16/2026
10
GLOBAL VALUE INVESTMENT CORP. Expands Stake in Rocky Mountain Ch - GuruFocus
01/28/2026
11
Best Ice Cream Stocks for 2026 and How to Invest - The Motley Fool
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow2.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.7 M

Rocky Mountain Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  163.00  in Rocky Mountain Chocolate on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  91.00  from holding Rocky Mountain Chocolate or generate 55.83% return on investment over 90 days. Rocky Mountain Chocolate is currently generating 0.8576% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.9507% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 44% of stocks are less volatile than Rocky, and 83% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Rocky Mountain is expected to generate 6.11 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.11 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Rocky Mountain Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Rocky Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.79 90 days 2.79 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rocky Mountain to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Rocky Mountain Chocolate probability density function shows the probability of Rocky Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Rocky Mountain has a beta of 0.72 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rocky Mountain average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rocky Mountain Chocolate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rocky Mountain Chocolate has an alpha of 0.7211, implying that it can generate a 0.72 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Rocky Mountain Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rocky Mountain

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rocky Mountain Chocolate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rocky Mountain's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.152.927.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.566.5111.46
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.3818.0019.98
Details

Rocky Mountain Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rocky Mountain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rocky Mountain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rocky Mountain Chocolate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rocky Mountain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.72
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Rocky Mountain Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rocky Mountain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rocky Mountain Chocolate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rocky Mountain appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 29.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.58 M.
Rocky Mountain Chocolate currently holds about 5.4 M in cash with (6.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.87.
Rocky Mountain has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Best Ice Cream Stocks for 2026 and How to Invest - The Motley Fool

Rocky Mountain Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rocky Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rocky Mountain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rocky Mountain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments720 K

Rocky Mountain Fundamentals Growth

Rocky Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rocky Mountain, and Rocky Mountain fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rocky Stock performance.

About Rocky Mountain Performance

By analyzing Rocky Mountain's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Rocky Mountain's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Rocky Mountain has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Rocky Mountain has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 73.81  84.81 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.35)(0.33)
Return On Capital Employed(0.48)(0.45)
Return On Assets(0.33)(0.32)
Return On Equity(1.01)(0.96)

Things to note about Rocky Mountain Chocolate performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rocky Mountain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Rocky Mountain Chocolate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rocky Mountain appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 29.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.58 M.
Rocky Mountain Chocolate currently holds about 5.4 M in cash with (6.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.87.
Rocky Mountain has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Best Ice Cream Stocks for 2026 and How to Invest - The Motley Fool
Evaluating Rocky Mountain's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Rocky Mountain's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Rocky Mountain's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rocky Mountain's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Rocky Mountain's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Rocky Mountain's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rocky Mountain's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rocky Mountain's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Rocky Mountain's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Rocky Mountain's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Rocky Mountain's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Rocky Mountain's price analysis, check to measure Rocky Mountain's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rocky Mountain is operating at the current time. Most of Rocky Mountain's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rocky Mountain's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rocky Mountain's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rocky Mountain to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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