Redwood Trust Stock Performance

RWT Stock  USD 6.59  0.09  1.35%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Redwood Trust holds a performance score of 13. The company holds a Beta of 0.17, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Redwood Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Redwood Trust is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Redwood Trust's sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Redwood Trust's historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Redwood Trust are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Redwood Trust unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.35)
Five Day Return
17.89
Year To Date Return
16.64
Ten Year Return
(33.43)
All Time Return
(61.53)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1281
Payout Ratio
0.0371
Forward Dividend Rate
0.72
Dividend Date
2025-12-30
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-23
1
Redwood Trust declares 0.18 dividend
12/08/2025
2
Disposition of 16087 shares by Andrew Stone of Redwood Trust at 8.77 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
3
Disposition of 52523 shares by Christopher Abate of Redwood Trust at 13.18 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/24/2025
 
Redwood Trust dividend paid on 30th of December 2025
12/30/2025
5
Insider Trading
12/31/2025
6
Discipline and Rules-Based Execution in RWT Response - Stock Traders Daily
01/02/2026
7
Avoiding Lag Real-Time Signals in Movement - Stock Traders Daily
01/13/2026
8
Zacks Research Upgrades Redwood Trust to Strong-Buy
01/28/2026
9
Disposition of 13131 shares by Sasha Macomber of Redwood Trust at 13.18 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/29/2026
10
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Strong ...
01/30/2026
11
Redwood Trust Q4 2025 Earnings Preview
02/10/2026
12
Redwood Trust Q4 Earnings Snapshot
02/11/2026
13
Redwood Trust Q4 Revenue Recovery Tests Bullish Narratives On Turnaround Potential
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow368.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities2.5 B

Redwood Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  487.00  in Redwood Trust on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  172.00  from holding Redwood Trust or generate 35.32% return on investment over 90 days. Redwood Trust is generating 0.5454% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.2559% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 29% of stocks are less volatile than Redwood, and above 90% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Redwood Trust is expected to generate 4.23 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Redwood Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Redwood Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.59 90 days 6.59 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Redwood Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Redwood Trust probability density function shows the probability of Redwood Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Redwood Trust has a beta of 0.17 indicating as returns on the market go up, Redwood Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Redwood Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Redwood Trust has an alpha of 0.4207, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Redwood Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Redwood Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Redwood Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Redwood Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.316.579.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.767.0210.28
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.146.757.49
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.170.190.21
Details

Redwood Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Redwood Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Redwood Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Redwood Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Redwood Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Redwood Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Redwood Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Redwood Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Redwood Trust appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Redwood Trust has about 245.16 M in cash with (5.86 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.64.
Redwood Trust has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 30th of December 2025 Redwood Trust paid $ 0.18 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Redwood Trust Q4 Revenue Recovery Tests Bullish Narratives On Turnaround Potential

Redwood Trust Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Redwood Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Redwood Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Redwood Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments456.6 M

Redwood Trust Fundamentals Growth

Redwood Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Redwood Trust, and Redwood Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Redwood Stock performance.

About Redwood Trust Performance

Assessing Redwood Trust's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Redwood Trust's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Redwood Trust is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 217.12  227.97 
Return On Equity 0.05  0.07 

Things to note about Redwood Trust performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Redwood Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Redwood Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Redwood Trust appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Redwood Trust has about 245.16 M in cash with (5.86 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.64.
Redwood Trust has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 30th of December 2025 Redwood Trust paid $ 0.18 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Redwood Trust Q4 Revenue Recovery Tests Bullish Narratives On Turnaround Potential
Evaluating Redwood Trust's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Redwood Trust's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Redwood Trust's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Redwood Trust's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Redwood Trust's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Redwood Trust's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Redwood Trust's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Redwood Trust's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Redwood Trust's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Redwood Trust's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Redwood Trust's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Redwood Stock Analysis

When running Redwood Trust's price analysis, check to measure Redwood Trust's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Redwood Trust is operating at the current time. Most of Redwood Trust's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Redwood Trust's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Redwood Trust's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Redwood Trust to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.