Skyward Specialty Insurance Stock Performance

SKWD Stock   45.18  0.89  1.93%   
The entity has a beta of 0.63, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Skyward Specialty's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Skyward Specialty is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Skyward Specialty has a negative expected return of -0.0584%. Please make sure to validate Skyward Specialty's total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Skyward Specialty performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Skyward Specialty Insurance has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Skyward Specialty is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.93)
Five Day Return
(0.31)
Year To Date Return
(7.08)
Ten Year Return
136.54
All Time Return
136.54
1
Skyward Specialty Promotes John Burkhart to President, U.S. Property Casualty
11/19/2025
2
Disposition of tradable shares by Thomas Schmitt of Skyward Specialty at 47.61 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/11/2025
3
Insider Trading
12/31/2025
4
These 2 Finance Stocks Could Beat Earnings Why They Should Be on Your Radar
01/06/2026
5
Disposition of 6665 shares by Haushill Mark W of Skyward Specialty subject to Rule 16b-3
01/12/2026
6
Skyward Specialty Expands Its ES Property Offering
01/15/2026
7
Emerald Advisers LLC Trims Stock Holdings in Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. SKWD - MarketBeat
01/22/2026
8
Will Skyward Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report - Finviz
01/26/2026
9
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group to Host Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call Tuesday, February 24th, 2026
01/29/2026
10
Skyward Specialty Launches New Power Generation Coverage Solution
02/03/2026
11
Evaluating Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness
02/06/2026
12
Is Skyward Specialty Insurance Group Pricing Reflect Its Strong Specialty Insurance Position Today
02/12/2026
13
Reinhart Partners Doubles Down on Skyward Stock With 38.6 Million Buy, According to Recent SEC Filing - AOL.com
02/13/2026
14
Disposition of 5000 shares by Thomas Schmitt of Skyward Specialty subject to Rule 16b-3
02/18/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow100.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-243.7 M

Skyward Specialty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,750  in Skyward Specialty Insurance on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (232.00) from holding Skyward Specialty Insurance or give up 4.88% of portfolio value over 90 days. Skyward Specialty Insurance is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.3224% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Skyward, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Skyward Specialty is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.11 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.17 per unit of volatility.

Skyward Specialty Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Skyward Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 45.18 90 days 45.18 
about 81.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Skyward Specialty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.95 (This Skyward Specialty Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Skyward Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Skyward Specialty has a beta of 0.63. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Skyward Specialty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Skyward Specialty Insurance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Skyward Specialty Insurance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Skyward Specialty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Skyward Specialty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skyward Specialty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Skyward Specialty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.8645.1847.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.6655.0657.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
42.9445.2647.58
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
58.0663.8070.82
Details

Skyward Specialty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Skyward Specialty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Skyward Specialty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Skyward Specialty Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Skyward Specialty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
2.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Skyward Specialty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Skyward Specialty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Skyward Specialty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Skyward Specialty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 5000 shares by Thomas Schmitt of Skyward Specialty subject to Rule 16b-3

Skyward Specialty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Skyward Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Skyward Specialty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Skyward Specialty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Skyward Specialty Fundamentals Growth

Skyward Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Skyward Specialty, and Skyward Specialty fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Skyward Stock performance.

About Skyward Specialty Performance

By analyzing Skyward Specialty's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Skyward Specialty's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Skyward Specialty has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Skyward Specialty has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.13  0.14 

Things to note about Skyward Specialty performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Skyward Specialty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Skyward Specialty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Skyward Specialty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 5000 shares by Thomas Schmitt of Skyward Specialty subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating Skyward Specialty's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Skyward Specialty's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Skyward Specialty's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Skyward Specialty's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Skyward Specialty's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Skyward Specialty's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Skyward Specialty's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Skyward Specialty's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Skyward Specialty's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Skyward Specialty's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Skyward Specialty's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Skyward Stock analysis

When running Skyward Specialty's price analysis, check to measure Skyward Specialty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Skyward Specialty is operating at the current time. Most of Skyward Specialty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Skyward Specialty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Skyward Specialty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Skyward Specialty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas