Virgin Galactic Holdings Stock Performance
| SPCE Stock | USD 2.93 0.10 3.30% |
The entity has a beta of 1.92, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Virgin Galactic will likely underperform. At this point, Virgin Galactic Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.26%. Please make sure to validate Virgin Galactic's daily balance of power, and the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Virgin Galactic Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Virgin Galactic Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (3.30) | Five Day Return (8.44) | Year To Date Return (10.94) | Ten Year Return (98.55) | All Time Return (98.55) |
Last Split Factor 1:20 | Last Split Date 2024-06-17 |
1 | Virgin Galactic outlines 125 spaceflights per year target as company pivots toward 2026 commercial launch | 11/14/2025 |
2 | Is Virgin Galactic a Bargain After a 99 percent Five Year Share Price Collapse | 12/10/2025 |
3 | Virgin Galactic Deepens DOE Lab Ties Could LLNL Sensors Reframe Its High-Altitude Data Strategy | 12/23/2025 |
4 | Starfighters Space Is Taking Off | 12/29/2025 |
5 | Prediction Why Virgin Galactic Stock Is Set to Go to 0 | 01/07/2026 |
6 | Disposition of 11853 shares by Sarah Kim of Virgin Galactic subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/09/2026 |
7 | Is Virgin Galactic Now Attractive After A 99 percent Five Year Share Price Collapse | 01/16/2026 |
8 | Blue Origin launching 6 people to suborbital space on Jan. 22 | 01/20/2026 |
9 | Growth Opportunities in the 3.83 Billion Reusable Rockets Market, 2026-2030 2035 - SpaceX, Blue Origin, and ArianeGroup Dominate | 01/29/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 253.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 175.7 M |
Virgin Galactic Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 366.00 in Virgin Galactic Holdings on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (73.00) from holding Virgin Galactic Holdings or give up 19.95% of portfolio value over 90 days. Virgin Galactic Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.7536% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 42% of stocks are less volatile than Virgin, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Virgin Galactic Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Virgin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.93 | 90 days | 2.93 | about 92.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Virgin Galactic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.08 (This Virgin Galactic Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Virgin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.92 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Virgin Galactic will likely underperform. Additionally Virgin Galactic Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Virgin Galactic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Virgin Galactic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virgin Galactic Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Virgin Galactic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Virgin Galactic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Virgin Galactic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Virgin Galactic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Virgin Galactic Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Virgin Galactic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Virgin Galactic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Virgin Galactic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Virgin Galactic Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Virgin Galactic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Virgin Galactic has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Virgin Galactic has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (346.74 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (73.14 M). | |
| Virgin Galactic Holdings currently holds about 917.57 M in cash with (352.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.55, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from nypost.com: Gov. Hochuls back to basics call in math instruction is further evidence of State Eds lack of accountability |
Virgin Galactic Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Virgin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Virgin Galactic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Virgin Galactic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 563.2 M |
Virgin Galactic Fundamentals Growth
Virgin Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Virgin Galactic, and Virgin Galactic fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Virgin Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.99 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.2 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (181.28) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 249.86 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 73.13 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.98 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 129.00 X | ||||
| Revenue | 7.04 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | (73.14 M) | ||||
| EBITDA | (318.27 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (346.74 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 917.57 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.55 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 420.12 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.71 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 6.44 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.58 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (352.7 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (6.84) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 214.27 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 961.23 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (2.47 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 477.93 M | ||||
About Virgin Galactic Performance
By analyzing Virgin Galactic's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Virgin Galactic's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Virgin Galactic has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Virgin Galactic has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 4.1 K | 3.9 K | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.41) | (0.44) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.53) | (0.56) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.41) | (0.44) | |
| Return On Equity | (1.24) | (1.30) |
Things to note about Virgin Galactic Holdings performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Virgin Galactic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Virgin Galactic Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Virgin Galactic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Virgin Galactic has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Virgin Galactic has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (346.74 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (73.14 M). | |
| Virgin Galactic Holdings currently holds about 917.57 M in cash with (352.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.55, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from nypost.com: Gov. Hochuls back to basics call in math instruction is further evidence of State Eds lack of accountability |
- Analyzing Virgin Galactic's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Virgin Galactic's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Virgin Galactic's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Virgin Galactic's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Virgin Galactic's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Virgin Galactic's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Virgin Galactic's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Virgin Stock analysis
When running Virgin Galactic's price analysis, check to measure Virgin Galactic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virgin Galactic is operating at the current time. Most of Virgin Galactic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virgin Galactic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virgin Galactic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virgin Galactic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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