Virgin Galactic Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SPCE Stock | USD 7.50 0.35 4.90% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Virgin Galactic Holdings is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Virgin Galactic buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SPCE positions.
Check out Virgin Galactic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Virgin and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Virgin Galactic Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Virgin |
Execute Virgin Galactic Buy or Sell Advice
The Virgin recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Virgin Galactic Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Virgin Galactic Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Virgin Galactic's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Virgin Galactic Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Virgin Galactic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Virgin Galactic has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (502.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 406 K. | |
| Virgin Galactic Holdings currently holds about 917.57 M in cash with (448.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.55. | |
| Latest headline from space.com: Blue Origin targeting Nov. 22 for next space tourism launch |
Virgin Galactic Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Virgin Galactic's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Virgin Galactic's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Virgin Galactic daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Virgin Galactic Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Virgin Galactic returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Virgin Galactic.
| Mean Return | 0.23 | Value At Risk | -7.06 | Potential Upside | 9.21 | Standard Deviation | 5.19 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Virgin Galactic historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Virgin Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 187.4 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 159.6 K | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 77.7 K | Engineers Gate Manager Lp | 2024-09-30 | 64.7 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 63.5 K | Federated Hermes Inc | 2024-09-30 | 61.9 K | Jane Street Group Llc | 2024-06-30 | 60.8 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-06-30 | 58.5 K | Penserra Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 52.9 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 1.6 M | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 1.3 M |
Virgin Galactic Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (3.5M) | 1.4M | 815K | 5.6M | 4.8M | 5.0M | |
| Change In Cash | 411.4M | 186.2M | (128.9M) | (207.4M) | (89.0M) | (84.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (104K) | (310K) | (450K) | 424.5M | 488.1M | 512.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (223.0M) | (250.4M) | (235.4M) | (396.7M) | (492.5M) | (467.9M) | |
| Depreciation | 7.0M | 9.8M | 11.5M | 11.1M | 13.4M | 9.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (38K) | 96K | 11K | 12.8M | (11.4M) | (10.8M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 19.4M | 17.2M | 4.6M | 16.5M | 44.3M | 46.5M | |
| Net Income | (210.9M) | (273.0M) | (352.9M) | (500.2M) | (502.3M) | (477.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 492.7M | 679.0M | 550.0M | 342.6M | 253.6M | 364.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.0M | 30.4M | 96.5M | 56.5M | 65.0M | 34.2M |
Virgin Galactic Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Virgin Galactic or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Virgin Galactic's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Virgin stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Virgin Galactic Volatility Alert
Virgin Galactic Holdings exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Virgin Galactic's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Virgin Galactic's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Virgin Galactic Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Virgin Galactic's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Virgin Galactic's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Virgin Galactic and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Virgin Galactic or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Virgin Galactic's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Virgin Galactic by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Virgin Galactic to competition |
| Fundamentals | Virgin Galactic | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.78 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.22 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (203.30) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | (25.09 M) | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 28.88 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.80 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 31.42 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.9 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 0.56 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 21.93 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.8 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 406 K | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (475.64 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (502.34 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 917.57 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.55 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 417.89 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.71 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 6.44 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 12.68 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (448.19 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.36 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (16.26) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.29) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 11.83 | |
| Number Of Employees | 805 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.7 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 206.46 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.18 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2.13 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 765.17 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 1.18 B |
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by Alistair Burns of Virgin Galactic at 0.948 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Virgin Galactic Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Virgin . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Virgin Galactic Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Virgin Galactic Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Virgin Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Virgin Galactic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Virgin Galactic. If investors know Virgin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Virgin Galactic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (16.26) | Revenue Per Share 0.421 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.77) | Return On Assets (0.22) | Return On Equity (0.78) |
The market value of Virgin Galactic Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Virgin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Virgin Galactic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Virgin Galactic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Virgin Galactic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Virgin Galactic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Virgin Galactic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virgin Galactic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virgin Galactic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.