Virgin Galactic Valuation

SPCE Stock  USD 7.50  0.35  4.90%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Virgin Galactic Holdings has a current Real Value of $5.04 per share. The regular price of the company is $7.5. Our model measures the value of Virgin Galactic Holdings from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Current Valuation of (25.09 M), return on equity of -0.78, and Shares Owned By Insiders of 5.80 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Virgin Galactic's valuation include:
Price Book
0.5641
Enterprise Value
-25.1 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(0.14)
Price Sales
21.9265
Enterprise Value Revenue
9.9855
Overvalued
Today
7.50
Please note that Virgin Galactic's price fluctuation is unstable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Virgin Galactic Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Virgin Galactic's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Virgin stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Virgin Galactic Holdings. Since Virgin Galactic is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Virgin Stock. However, Virgin Galactic's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.5 Real  5.04 Target  4.22 Hype  7.16 Naive  7.52
The real value of Virgin Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Virgin Galactic Holdings Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Virgin Galactic's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Virgin Galactic's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
5.04
Real Value
10.22
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Virgin Galactic Holdings helps investors to forecast how Virgin stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Virgin Galactic more accurately as focusing exclusively on Virgin Galactic's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-3.98-3.71-3.56
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.987.1612.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.347.5212.71
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
3.844.224.68
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Virgin Galactic's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Virgin Galactic's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Virgin Galactic's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Virgin Galactic we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Virgin Galactic Cash

344.32 Million

Virgin Valuation Trend

Comparing Virgin Galactic's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Virgin Galactic Holdings uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Virgin Galactic Total Value Analysis

Virgin Galactic Holdings is at this time forecasted to have valuation of (25.09 M) with market capitalization of 206.46 M, debt of 417.89 M, and cash on hands of 917.57 M. The negative valuation of Virgin Galactic may imply that the market is not capable to price the future growth of the company or it is pricing it at zero value. It may also suggest that takeover valuation may not have captured all of the outstanding financial obligations of the company both on and off balance sheet. Investors should vigilantly validate all of the Virgin Galactic fundamentals.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
(25.09 M)
206.46 M
417.89 M
917.57 M

Virgin Galactic Investor Information

About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.56. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Virgin Galactic Holdings recorded a loss per share of 16.26. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 17th of June 2024. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Virgin Galactic's historical financial statements, Virgin Galactic Holdings is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high chance of going through financial crunch in December.

Virgin Galactic Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Virgin Galactic has an asset utilization ratio of 0.58 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.005765 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Virgin Galactic Holdings is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid

Virgin Galactic Ownership Allocation

Virgin Galactic Holdings shows a total of 28.88 Million outstanding shares. 30% of Virgin Galactic Holdings outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. On May 9, 2022, Representative Brian Mast of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Virgin Galactic Holdings's common stock.

Virgin Galactic Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (502.34 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 406 K.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Virgin Galactic's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Virgin Galactic and how it compares across the competition.

About Virgin Galactic Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Virgin Galactic's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Virgin Galactic. We calculate exposure to Virgin Galactic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Virgin Galactic's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit-43.7 M-41.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin(73.81)(77.50)
Operating Profit Margin(78.16)(82.07)
Net Loss(73.87)(77.57)
Gross Profit Margin(6.43)(6.11)

Virgin Galactic Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Virgin Galactic does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.9 M

Virgin Galactic Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Virgin Galactic Holdings and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Virgin we look at many different elements of the entity such as Virgin's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Virgin Galactic, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Virgin Galactic's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Virgin Galactic's worth.

Complementary Tools for Virgin Stock analysis

When running Virgin Galactic's price analysis, check to measure Virgin Galactic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virgin Galactic is operating at the current time. Most of Virgin Galactic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virgin Galactic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virgin Galactic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virgin Galactic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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