Sps Commerce Stock Performance
| SPSC Stock | USD 74.77 0.71 0.94% |
The entity has a beta of 0.91, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. SPS Commerce returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, SPS Commerce is expected to follow. At this point, SPS Commerce has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to validate SPS Commerce's maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and day typical price , to decide if SPS Commerce performance from the past will be repeated at some future point.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days SPS Commerce has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (5.09) | Five Day Return (7.19) | Year To Date Return (14.14) | Ten Year Return 263.93 | All Time Return 1 K |
Last Split Factor 2:1 | Last Split Date 2019-08-23 |
1 | Evaluating SPS Commerce Is the Recent Downtrend Creating a Potential Value Opportunity | 11/18/2025 |
2 | Investors in SPS Commerce have unfortunately lost 56 percent over the last year | 12/12/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 1732 shares by Reaume Marty M of SPS Commerce at 51.8 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/07/2026 |
4 | SPS Commerce Announces New Product Innovations Enabling Retailers and Brands to Meet the Needs of Evolving Supply Chains | 01/08/2026 |
5 | Top Cybersecurity Stocks for 2026 Show Significant Upside Potential | 01/15/2026 |
6 | SPS Commerce Fell Following Muted Outlook | 01/16/2026 |
7 | Did SPS Commerces New Supply Chain Cloud Tools Just Shift SPSCs Investment Narrative - Sahm | 01/21/2026 |
8 | Tran Capital Management Exits 15 Million SPS Commerce Position | 01/22/2026 |
9 | Return Trends At SPS Commerce Arent Appealing - | 01/27/2026 |
10 | Thomson Reuters Beats Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates | 02/05/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 219.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -110.5 M |
SPS Commerce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 8,202 in SPS Commerce on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (725.00) from holding SPS Commerce or give up 8.84% of portfolio value over 90 days. SPS Commerce is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.8706% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than SPS, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
SPS Commerce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of SPS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 74.77 | 90 days | 74.77 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SPS Commerce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This SPS Commerce probability density function shows the probability of SPS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
SPS Commerce Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SPS Commerce
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPS Commerce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SPS Commerce's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SPS Commerce Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SPS Commerce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SPS Commerce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SPS Commerce, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SPS Commerce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
SPS Commerce Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SPS Commerce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SPS Commerce can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SPS Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SPS Commerce has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Thomson Reuters Beats Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates |
SPS Commerce Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SPS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SPS Commerce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SPS Commerce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 241 M |
SPS Commerce Fundamentals Growth
SPS Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of SPS Commerce, and SPS Commerce fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SPS Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0951 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0626 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.16 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.87 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 37.71 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 103.21 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.13 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.92 X | ||||
| Revenue | 637.76 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 499.5 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 131.11 M | ||||
| Net Income | 77.05 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 259.24 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 7.20 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 12.47 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.61 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 25.41 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 157.4 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.13 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.86 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.03 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 336.1 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 235.22 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 166.79 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 24.23 M | ||||
About SPS Commerce Performance
By analyzing SPS Commerce's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into SPS Commerce's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if SPS Commerce has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if SPS Commerce has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 138.64 | 97.32 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.15 | 0.16 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.09 | 0.10 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.08 | 0.05 |
Things to note about SPS Commerce performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about SPS Commerce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for SPS Commerce help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SPS Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SPS Commerce has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Thomson Reuters Beats Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates |
- Analyzing SPS Commerce's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether SPS Commerce's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining SPS Commerce's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating SPS Commerce's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of SPS Commerce's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of SPS Commerce's stock. These opinions can provide insight into SPS Commerce's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for SPS Stock analysis
When running SPS Commerce's price analysis, check to measure SPS Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SPS Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of SPS Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SPS Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SPS Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SPS Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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