SPS Commerce Valuation

SPSC Stock  USD 92.11  1.50  1.66%   
At this time, the company appears to be fairly valued. SPS Commerce has a current Real Value of $93.06 per share. The regular price of the company is $92.11. Our model measures the value of SPS Commerce from evaluating the company fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.0951, and Shares Outstanding of 37.71 M as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting SPS Commerce's valuation include:
Price Book
3.5631
Enterprise Value
3.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
20.099
Price Sales
4.7848
Forward PE
67.1141
Fairly Valued
Today
92.11
Please note that SPS Commerce's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of SPS Commerce is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing SPS Commerce's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since SPS Commerce is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of SPS Stock. However, SPS Commerce's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  92.11 Real  93.06 Target  99.82 Hype  92.11 Naive  88.34
The real value of SPS Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of SPS Commerce Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on SPS Commerce's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of SPS Commerce's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
93.06
Real Value
96.15
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of SPS Commerce helps investors to forecast how SPS stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of SPS Commerce more accurately as focusing exclusively on SPS Commerce's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.021.031.04
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.0292.1195.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
85.2588.3491.43
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
90.8399.82110.80
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use SPS Commerce's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of SPS Commerce's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against SPS Commerce's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for SPS Commerce we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

SPS Commerce Cash

291.03 Million

SPS Commerce Total Value Analysis

SPS Commerce is at this time projected to have valuation of 3.29 B with market capitalization of 3.49 B, debt of 12.47 M, and cash on hands of 259.24 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the SPS Commerce fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
3.29 B
3.49 B
12.47 M
259.24 M

SPS Commerce Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of SPS Commerce was at this time reported as 25.41. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 103.21. SPS Commerce had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 23rd of August 2019. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from SPS Commerce's historical financial statements, SPS Commerce may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter.

SPS Commerce Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. SPS Commerce has an asset utilization ratio of 61.85 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.62 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that SPS Commerce is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

SPS Commerce Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from SPS Commerce's financial statements, SPS Commerce's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average chance of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess SPS Commerce's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2008-03-31
Previous Quarter
19.7 M
Current Value
25.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
7.5 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At present, SPS Commerce's Pretax Profit Margin is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.760.77
Fairly Down
Very volatile
For SPS Commerce profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of SPS Commerce to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well SPS Commerce utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between SPS Commerce's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of SPS Commerce over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

SPS Commerce Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of SPS Commerce is estimated to be 1.032475 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.025 to a high of 1.045. SPS Commerce's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 2.24. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for SPS Commerce is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
SPS Commerce is projected to generate 1.032475 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. SPS Commerce earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected SPS Commerce EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on SPS Commerce's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as SPS Commerce, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

SPS Commerce Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of SPS Commerce's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of SPS Commerce is estimated to be 1.032475 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.025 to a high of 1.045. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for SPS Commerce is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.13
1.02
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.032475
1.04
Highest

SPS Commerce Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of SPS Commerce's value are higher than the current market price of the SPS Commerce stock. In this case, investors may conclude that SPS Commerce is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and SPS Commerce's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
1289.59%
1.13
1.032475
2.24

SPS Commerce Ownership Allocation

The majority of SPS Commerce outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in SPS Commerce to benefit from reduced commissions. Accordingly, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in SPS Commerce. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of SPS Commerce as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On June 8, 2020, Representative Peter Welch of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of SPS Commerce's common stock.

SPS Commerce Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 637.76 M. Net Income was 77.05 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 499.5 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates SPS Commerce's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in SPS Commerce and how it compares across the competition.

About SPS Commerce Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines SPS Commerce's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of SPS Commerce. We calculate exposure to SPS Commerce's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of SPS Commerce's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit491.1 M515.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.14  0.15 
Operating Profit Margin 0.14  0.13 
Net Profit Margin 0.12  0.11 
Gross Profit Margin 0.77  0.76 

SPS Commerce Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.081
Forward Price Earnings67.1141

SPS Commerce Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of SPS Commerce and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value SPS we look at many different elements of the entity such as SPS's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as SPS Commerce, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use SPS Commerce's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes SPS Commerce's worth.

Complementary Tools for SPS Stock analysis

When running SPS Commerce's price analysis, check to measure SPS Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SPS Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of SPS Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SPS Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SPS Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SPS Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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