Trip Group Ltd Stock Performance

TCOM Stock  USD 54.43  0.03  0.06%   
The entity has a beta of -0.0387, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Trip Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Trip Group is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Trip Group has a negative expected return of -0.38%. Please make sure to validate Trip Group's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Trip Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Trip Group Ltd has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow44 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-6.1 B

Trip Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,089  in Trip Group Ltd on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,646) from holding Trip Group Ltd or give up 23.22% of portfolio value over 90 days. Trip Group Ltd is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.853% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Trip, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Trip Group is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.73 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Trip Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Trip Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 54.43 90 days 54.43 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trip Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Trip Group Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Trip Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Trip Group Ltd has a beta of -0.0387. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Trip Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Trip Group Ltd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Trip Group Ltd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Trip Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trip Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trip Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.9754.8257.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.9962.6165.46
Details

Trip Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trip Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trip Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trip Group Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trip Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
6.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Trip Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trip Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trip Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trip Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trip Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings

Trip Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trip Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trip Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trip Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding688.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments76.9 B

Trip Group Fundamentals Growth

Trip Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Trip Group, and Trip Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Trip Stock performance.

About Trip Group Performance

By examining Trip Group's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Trip Group's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Trip Group is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Trip.com Group Limited operates as a travel service provider for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours and in-destination, corporate travel management, and other travel-related services in China and internationally. Trip.com Group Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the Peoples Republic of China. Trip operates under Travel Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 33732 people.

Things to note about Trip Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trip Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Trip Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trip Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trip Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Evaluating Trip Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Trip Group's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Trip Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Trip Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Trip Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Trip Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Trip Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Trip Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Trip Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Trip Group's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Trip Group's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Trip Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Trip Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Trip Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Trip Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Trip Group Ltd. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Will Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines sector continue expanding? Could Trip diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trip Group. If investors know Trip will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Trip Group data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Trip Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Trip Group's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Trip Group's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trip Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trip Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Trip Group's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.