Valneva Se Adr Stock Performance

VALN Stock  USD 9.56  0.49  5.40%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Valneva SE holds a performance score of 5. The entity has a beta of 1.07, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Valneva SE returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Valneva SE is expected to follow. Please check Valneva SE's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Valneva SE's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Valneva SE ADR are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak essential indicators, Valneva SE displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
5.4
Five Day Return
3.46
Year To Date Return
6.7
Ten Year Return
(63.80)
All Time Return
(63.80)
1
Valneva Stock Price Up 3.4 percent - Time to Buy - MarketBeat
11/13/2025
2
Valneva SE Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
11/21/2025
3
Valneva stock rises after positive final Phase 2 results for chikungunya vaccine - Investing.com India
12/11/2025
4
Valneva stock falls after withdrawing chikungunya vaccine BLA in U.S. By Investing.com - Investing.com UK
01/20/2026
5
Valneva Shares Gap Up Time to Buy
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow126.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities76.9 M

Valneva SE Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  872.00  in Valneva SE ADR on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  84.00  from holding Valneva SE ADR or generate 9.63% return on investment over 90 days. Valneva SE ADR is currently generating 0.2012% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.1459% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 28% of stocks are less volatile than Valneva, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Valneva SE is expected to generate 4.18 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.18 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Valneva SE Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Valneva Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.56 90 days 9.56 
about 19.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Valneva SE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.14 (This Valneva SE ADR probability density function shows the probability of Valneva Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This entails Valneva SE ADR market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Valneva SE is expected to follow. Additionally Valneva SE ADR has an alpha of 0.046, implying that it can generate a 0.046 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Valneva SE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Valneva SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Valneva SE ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.459.5612.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.289.3912.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.358.4611.56
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.7312.8914.31
Details

Valneva SE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Valneva SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Valneva SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Valneva SE ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Valneva SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Valneva SE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Valneva SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Valneva SE ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Valneva SE ADR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Valneva SE ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 169.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.25 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.69 M).
Valneva SE ADR currently holds about 336.22 M in cash with (67.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.74.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Valneva Shares Gap Up Time to Buy

Valneva SE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Valneva Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Valneva SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Valneva SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding70.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments168.3 M

Valneva SE Fundamentals Growth

Valneva Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Valneva SE, and Valneva SE fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Valneva Stock performance.

About Valneva SE Performance

By examining Valneva SE's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Valneva SE's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Valneva SE is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 178.90  109.56 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Equity(0.08)(0.08)

Things to note about Valneva SE ADR performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Valneva SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Valneva SE ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Valneva SE ADR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Valneva SE ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 169.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.25 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.69 M).
Valneva SE ADR currently holds about 336.22 M in cash with (67.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.74.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Valneva Shares Gap Up Time to Buy
Evaluating Valneva SE's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Valneva SE's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Valneva SE's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Valneva SE's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Valneva SE's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Valneva SE's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Valneva SE's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Valneva SE's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Valneva SE's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Valneva SE's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Valneva SE's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Valneva SE ADR offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Valneva SE's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Valneva Se Adr Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Valneva Se Adr Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Valneva SE ADR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could Valneva diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valneva SE. If investors know Valneva will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Valneva SE data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(1.53)
Revenue Per Share
2.142
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.36)
Return On Assets
(0.1)
Return On Equity
(0.56)
The market value of Valneva SE ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valneva that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valneva SE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valneva SE's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Valneva SE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valneva SE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valneva SE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valneva SE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Valneva SE's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.