Shaanxi Energy (China) Price Prediction

001286 Stock   9.42  0.02  0.21%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Shaanxi Energy's share price is at 54. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shaanxi Energy, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

54

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shaanxi Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shaanxi Energy Investment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shaanxi Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.148
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.8
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.9
Wall Street Target Price
12.135
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.265
Using Shaanxi Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shaanxi Energy Investment from the perspective of Shaanxi Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shaanxi Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shaanxi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Shaanxi Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 9.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Shaanxi Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.958.0810.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.119.2411.37
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.200.200.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shaanxi Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shaanxi Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shaanxi Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shaanxi Energy Investment.

Shaanxi Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shaanxi Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shaanxi Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shaanxi Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shaanxi Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shaanxi Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shaanxi Energy's historical news coverage. Shaanxi Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.29 and 11.55, respectively. We have considered Shaanxi Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.42
9.42
After-hype Price
11.55
Upside
Shaanxi Energy is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shaanxi Energy Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shaanxi Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shaanxi Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shaanxi Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shaanxi Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
2.13
 0.00  
  0.02 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.42
9.42
0.00 
21,300  
Notes

Shaanxi Energy Hype Timeline

Shaanxi Energy Investment is presently traded for 9.42on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Shaanxi is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shaanxi Energy is about 508.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.44. About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.44. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Shaanxi Energy Investment last dividend was issued on the 26th of June 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Shaanxi Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Shaanxi Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shaanxi Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shaanxi Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Shaanxi Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shaanxi Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002443Zhejiang Kingland Pipeline 0.01 1 per month 1.87  0.05  3.82 (3.68) 14.84 
600307Gansu Jiu Steel 0.06 1 per month 2.83  0.11  9.56 (3.55) 19.98 
002429Shenzhen MTC Co(0.1)2 per month 2.50 (0.01) 4.64 (4.14) 14.22 
601615Ming Yang Smart 0.13 2 per month 2.40  0.11  7.35 (4.15) 18.14 
002623Changzhou Almaden Co 0.93 2 per month 2.79  0.02  5.05 (3.51) 18.54 
300261Aba Chemicals Corp(0.32)2 per month 4.10  0.08  12.80 (6.69) 30.23 
159681159681 0.00 0 per month 2.94  0.10  8.99 (4.00) 36.32 
300729Loctek Ergonomic Technology 0.00 0 per month 2.78  0.11  6.27 (2.63) 24.80 
688391Hi Trend TechCo 2.84 1 per month 3.61  0.07  6.33 (5.00) 34.22 
300590Queclink Wireless Solutions 0.64 2 per month 3.87  0.07  5.96 (5.99) 36.78 

Shaanxi Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shaanxi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shaanxi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shaanxi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Shaanxi Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Shaanxi Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shaanxi Energy Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shaanxi Energy based on analysis of Shaanxi Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shaanxi Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shaanxi Energy's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Shaanxi Energy

The number of cover stories for Shaanxi Energy depends on current market conditions and Shaanxi Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shaanxi Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shaanxi Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Shaanxi Energy Short Properties

Shaanxi Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shaanxi Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shaanxi Energy Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shaanxi Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shaanxi Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0382

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When running Shaanxi Energy's price analysis, check to measure Shaanxi Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shaanxi Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Shaanxi Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shaanxi Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shaanxi Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shaanxi Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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