Sunwave Communications (China) Price Prediction

002115 Stock   6.15  0.21  3.54%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Sunwave Communications' the stock price is about 68. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sunwave, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sunwave Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sunwave Communications Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sunwave Communications' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.22)
Wall Street Target Price
11.2
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
Using Sunwave Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunwave Communications Co from the perspective of Sunwave Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sunwave Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sunwave because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sunwave Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 6.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Sunwave Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.185.809.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.556.179.78
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Sunwave Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sunwave Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sunwave Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sunwave Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sunwave Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sunwave Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sunwave Communications' historical news coverage. Sunwave Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.79 and 10.03, respectively. We have considered Sunwave Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.15
6.41
After-hype Price
10.03
Upside
Sunwave Communications is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sunwave Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sunwave Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sunwave Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunwave Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sunwave Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.80 
3.62
  0.26 
  0.06 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.15
6.41
4.23 
1,131  
Notes

Sunwave Communications Hype Timeline

Sunwave Communications is presently traded for 6.15on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Sunwave is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 4.23%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.8%. The volatility of related hype on Sunwave Communications is about 4763.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.21. Sunwave Communications generates positive cash flow from operations, but has no cash availableAssuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Sunwave Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sunwave Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sunwave Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sunwave Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Sunwave Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sunwave Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002303Shenzhen MYS Environmental 0.00 0 per month 2.22  0.24  7.25 (3.79) 20.02 
508096AVIC Fund Management 0.04 2 per month 0.22 (0.32) 0.71 (0.41) 1.83 
300533Shenzhen Bingchuan Network 0.00 0 per month 4.50  0.11  6.84 (5.89) 31.00 
180401Penghua Shenzhen Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.35) 0.66 (0.82) 2.55 
000937Jizhong Energy Resources 0.07 2 per month 2.14  0.06  4.15 (3.30) 16.15 
605377Hangzhou Huawang New 0.72 1 per month 2.28 (0.01) 5.50 (2.49) 16.81 
605368Henan Lantian Gas 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.02 (3.98) 14.31 
508028China Fund Management(0.07)4 per month 0.00 (0.44) 0.60 (0.59) 1.89 
200625Chongqing Changan Automobile 0.00 0 per month 2.08 (0.06) 3.36 (3.07) 10.02 
000983Shanxi Xishan Coal 0.00 0 per month 2.31 (0.01) 5.00 (3.16) 18.25 

Sunwave Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sunwave price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunwave using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunwave charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sunwave Communications Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sunwave Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sunwave Communications Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sunwave Communications based on analysis of Sunwave Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sunwave Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sunwave Communications's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Sunwave Communications

The number of cover stories for Sunwave Communications depends on current market conditions and Sunwave Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sunwave Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sunwave Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Sunwave Communications Short Properties

Sunwave Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sunwave Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sunwave Communications Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sunwave Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunwave Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding811 M

Complementary Tools for Sunwave Stock analysis

When running Sunwave Communications' price analysis, check to measure Sunwave Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sunwave Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Sunwave Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sunwave Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sunwave Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sunwave Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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