Innovative Medical (China) Price Prediction
| 002173 Stock | 8.93 0.55 6.56% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.003 |
Using Innovative Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Innovative Medical Management from the perspective of Innovative Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Innovative Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Innovative because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Innovative Medical after-hype prediction price | CNY 8.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Innovative |
Innovative Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Innovative Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Innovative Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Innovative Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Innovative Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Innovative Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Innovative Medical's historical news coverage. Innovative Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.62 and 12.98, respectively. We have considered Innovative Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Innovative Medical is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Innovative Medical is based on 3 months time horizon.
Innovative Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Innovative Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Innovative Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Innovative Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.67 | 4.18 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.93 | 8.80 | 1.46 |
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Innovative Medical Hype Timeline
Innovative Medical is presently traded for 8.93on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Innovative is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.8. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.46%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.67%. The volatility of related hype on Innovative Medical is about 3051.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.02. About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Innovative Medical was presently reported as 4.18. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.11. Innovative Medical last dividend was issued on the 25th of June 2018. The entity had 20:10 split on the 6th of May 2011. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Innovative Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Innovative Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Innovative Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Innovative Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Innovative Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Innovative Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.04) | 3 per month | 1.58 | (0.06) | 2.83 | (3.06) | 8.14 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 1.76 | (0.04) | 3.32 | (3.86) | 8.64 | |
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | (0.15) | 1 per month | 1.97 | (0.05) | 3.21 | (3.89) | 8.24 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.14 | 3 per month | 1.51 | (0.03) | 2.67 | (2.86) | 7.70 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.43 | (3.33) | 17.17 | |
| 600036 | China Merchants Bank | 1.26 | 1 per month | 1.83 | 0.02 | 4.65 | (2.56) | 13.83 | |
| 600938 | CNOOC Limited | (0.28) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.25 | (3.62) | 16.49 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.05 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 601328 | Bank of Communications | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.26 | (3.60) | 10.82 | |
| 601658 | Postal Savings Bank | (0.12) | 2 per month | 1.78 | 0 | 3.49 | (2.84) | 9.13 |
Innovative Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Innovative price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Innovative using various technical indicators. When you analyze Innovative charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Innovative Medical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Innovative Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Innovative Medical Management, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Innovative Medical based on analysis of Innovative Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Innovative Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Innovative Medical's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Innovative Medical
The number of cover stories for Innovative Medical depends on current market conditions and Innovative Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Innovative Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Innovative Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Innovative Medical Short Properties
Innovative Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Innovative Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Innovative Medical Management often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Innovative Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Innovative Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 449 M |
Complementary Tools for Innovative Stock analysis
When running Innovative Medical's price analysis, check to measure Innovative Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Innovative Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Innovative Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Innovative Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Innovative Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Innovative Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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