CNOOC (China) Price Prediction
| 600938 Stock | 26.50 0.29 1.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.086 | Wall Street Target Price 32.65 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
Using CNOOC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNOOC Limited from the perspective of CNOOC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CNOOC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CNOOC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CNOOC after-hype prediction price | CNY 26.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CNOOC |
CNOOC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CNOOC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNOOC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CNOOC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CNOOC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CNOOC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNOOC's historical news coverage. CNOOC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.08 and 28.86, respectively. We have considered CNOOC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CNOOC is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNOOC Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
CNOOC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CNOOC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNOOC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNOOC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.39 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.50 | 26.47 | 0.11 |
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CNOOC Hype Timeline
CNOOC Limited is presently traded for 26.50on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. CNOOC is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.47. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on CNOOC is about 858.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.53. About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.73. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. CNOOC Limited last dividend was issued on the 18th of October 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out CNOOC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CNOOC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CNOOC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNOOC's future price movements. Getting to know how CNOOC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNOOC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 000938 | Unisplendour Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.71 | 0.07 | 8.06 | (5.62) | 15.96 | |
| 000881 | CGN Nuclear Technology | 0.18 | 1 per month | 2.11 | 0.09 | 4.42 | (3.92) | 14.36 | |
| 002008 | HanS Laser Tech | 1.54 | 2 per month | 2.36 | 0.09 | 6.16 | (4.15) | 16.03 | |
| 301190 | Jiujiang Shanshui Technology | 0.29 | 1 per month | 2.60 | 0.06 | 4.29 | (3.99) | 22.46 | |
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | (0.15) | 1 per month | 1.97 | (0.05) | 3.21 | (3.89) | 8.24 | |
| 600901 | Jiangsu Financial Leasing | (0.19) | 2 per month | 2.59 | (0.02) | 3.83 | (3.60) | 18.16 |
CNOOC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CNOOC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNOOC using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNOOC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CNOOC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CNOOC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CNOOC Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CNOOC based on analysis of CNOOC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CNOOC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CNOOC's related companies.
Story Coverage note for CNOOC
The number of cover stories for CNOOC depends on current market conditions and CNOOC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CNOOC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CNOOC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for CNOOC Stock analysis
When running CNOOC's price analysis, check to measure CNOOC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CNOOC is operating at the current time. Most of CNOOC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CNOOC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CNOOC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CNOOC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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