Shenzhen New (China) Price Prediction

002314 Stock   2.64  0.03  1.12%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Shenzhen New's share price is at 52. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shenzhen New, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

52

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shenzhen New's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shenzhen New Nanshan, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shenzhen New's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.90)
Wall Street Target Price
9.6
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Using Shenzhen New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shenzhen New Nanshan from the perspective of Shenzhen New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shenzhen New to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shenzhen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Shenzhen New after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 2.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Shenzhen New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.095.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.585.72
Details

Shenzhen New After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shenzhen New at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shenzhen New or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shenzhen New, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shenzhen New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shenzhen New's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shenzhen New's historical news coverage. Shenzhen New's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 5.73, respectively. We have considered Shenzhen New's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.64
2.60
After-hype Price
5.73
Upside
Shenzhen New is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shenzhen New Nanshan is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shenzhen New Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shenzhen New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shenzhen New backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shenzhen New, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.55 
3.13
  0.04 
  0.11 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.64
2.60
1.52 
3,912  
Notes

Shenzhen New Hype Timeline

Shenzhen New Nanshan is presently traded for 2.64on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Shenzhen is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.52%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.55%. The volatility of related hype on Shenzhen New is about 1565.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.75. About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.72. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Shenzhen New Nanshan recorded a loss per share of 0.09. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of August 2023. The firm had 20:10 split on the 18th of July 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Shenzhen New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Shenzhen New Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shenzhen New's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shenzhen New's future price movements. Getting to know how Shenzhen New's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shenzhen New may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601398Industrial and Commercial(0.04)3 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.83 (3.06) 8.14 
601939China Construction Bank 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.32 (3.86) 8.64 
601988Bank of China 0.14 3 per month 1.48 (0.06) 2.67 (2.86) 7.70 
601288Agricultural Bank of(0.15)1 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.21 (3.89) 8.24 
601857PetroChina Co Ltd(0.09)1 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.43 (3.33) 17.17 
600941China Mobile Limited 0.71 2 per month 1.15 (0.07) 2.05 (2.04) 8.38 
601318Ping An Insurance 0.26 1 per month 1.85  0.09  5.83 (2.83) 19.77 
600036China Merchants Bank 1.26 1 per month 1.84  0.01  4.65 (2.56) 13.83 
601166Industrial Bank Co 0.18 1 per month 1.61 (0) 3.84 (2.56) 12.07 
600938CNOOC Limited(0.28)4 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.25 (3.62) 16.49 

Shenzhen New Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shenzhen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shenzhen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shenzhen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Shenzhen New Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Shenzhen New stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shenzhen New Nanshan, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shenzhen New based on analysis of Shenzhen New hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shenzhen New's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shenzhen New's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Shenzhen New

The number of cover stories for Shenzhen New depends on current market conditions and Shenzhen New's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shenzhen New is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shenzhen New's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Shenzhen New Short Properties

Shenzhen New's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shenzhen New's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shenzhen New Nanshan often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shenzhen New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shenzhen New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.7 B
Dividends Paid1.5 B

Complementary Tools for Shenzhen Stock analysis

When running Shenzhen New's price analysis, check to measure Shenzhen New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shenzhen New is operating at the current time. Most of Shenzhen New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shenzhen New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shenzhen New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shenzhen New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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