Mingchen Health (China) Price Prediction
| 002919 Stock | 14.80 0.31 2.05% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.30) |
Using Mingchen Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mingchen Health Co from the perspective of Mingchen Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mingchen Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mingchen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mingchen Health after-hype prediction price | CNY 14.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mingchen |
Mingchen Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mingchen Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mingchen Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mingchen Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mingchen Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mingchen Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mingchen Health's historical news coverage. Mingchen Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.24 and 18.36, respectively. We have considered Mingchen Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mingchen Health is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mingchen Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mingchen Health Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mingchen Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mingchen Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mingchen Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 3.56 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.80 | 14.80 | 0.00 |
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Mingchen Health Hype Timeline
Mingchen Health is presently traded for 14.80on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. Mingchen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mingchen Health is about 3670.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.84. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Mingchen Health was presently reported as 3.1. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of May 2024. Mingchen Health had 1.2:1 split on the 31st of May 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Mingchen Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mingchen Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mingchen Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mingchen Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Mingchen Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mingchen Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.19 | (3.25) | 8.14 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.66 | (3.89) | 8.64 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.88 | (3.22) | 7.70 | |
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | (0.15) | 1 per month | 1.97 | (0.06) | 3.21 | (3.89) | 8.24 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.55 | (3.66) | 17.17 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 1.18 | (0.08) | 2.05 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | 0.26 | 1 per month | 1.83 | 0.11 | 5.83 | (2.83) | 19.77 | |
| 600036 | China Merchants Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.90 | 0.01 | 5.54 | (2.75) | 13.83 | |
| 601166 | Industrial Bank Co | 0.18 | 1 per month | 1.60 | 0.01 | 3.84 | (2.56) | 12.07 | |
| 600938 | CNOOC Limited | (0.03) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.25 | (3.62) | 16.49 |
Mingchen Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mingchen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mingchen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mingchen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mingchen Health Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mingchen Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mingchen Health Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mingchen Health based on analysis of Mingchen Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mingchen Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mingchen Health's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Mingchen Health
The number of cover stories for Mingchen Health depends on current market conditions and Mingchen Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mingchen Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mingchen Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Mingchen Health Short Properties
Mingchen Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mingchen Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mingchen Health Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mingchen Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mingchen Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 219.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 169 M |
Complementary Tools for Mingchen Stock analysis
When running Mingchen Health's price analysis, check to measure Mingchen Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mingchen Health is operating at the current time. Most of Mingchen Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mingchen Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mingchen Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mingchen Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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