Acelon Chemicals (Taiwan) Price Prediction

1466 Stock  TWD 14.05  0.50  3.44%   
At this time, The value of RSI of Acelon Chemicals' share price is at 58. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Acelon Chemicals, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Acelon Chemicals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Acelon Chemicals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Acelon Chemicals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Acelon Chemicals Fiber, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Acelon Chemicals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acelon Chemicals Fiber from the perspective of Acelon Chemicals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Acelon Chemicals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Acelon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Acelon Chemicals after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 14.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Acelon Chemicals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.4811.5414.60
Details

Acelon Chemicals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Acelon Chemicals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acelon Chemicals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acelon Chemicals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Acelon Chemicals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Acelon Chemicals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acelon Chemicals' historical news coverage. Acelon Chemicals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.99 and 17.11, respectively. We have considered Acelon Chemicals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.05
14.05
After-hype Price
17.11
Upside
Acelon Chemicals is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acelon Chemicals Fiber is based on 3 months time horizon.

Acelon Chemicals Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acelon Chemicals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acelon Chemicals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acelon Chemicals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
3.06
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.05
14.05
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Acelon Chemicals Hype Timeline

Acelon Chemicals Fiber is presently traded for 14.05on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Acelon is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Acelon Chemicals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.05. About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.79. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Acelon Chemicals Fiber last dividend was issued on the 24th of August 2022. The entity had 1:1 split on the 4th of July 2011. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Acelon Chemicals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Acelon Chemicals Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Acelon Chemicals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acelon Chemicals' future price movements. Getting to know how Acelon Chemicals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acelon Chemicals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Acelon Chemicals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Acelon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acelon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acelon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Acelon Chemicals Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Acelon Chemicals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Acelon Chemicals Fiber, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Acelon Chemicals based on analysis of Acelon Chemicals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Acelon Chemicals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Acelon Chemicals's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Acelon Chemicals

The number of cover stories for Acelon Chemicals depends on current market conditions and Acelon Chemicals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acelon Chemicals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acelon Chemicals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Acelon Chemicals Short Properties

Acelon Chemicals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Acelon Chemicals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acelon Chemicals Fiber often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acelon Chemicals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acelon Chemicals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111.2 M

Additional Tools for Acelon Stock Analysis

When running Acelon Chemicals' price analysis, check to measure Acelon Chemicals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acelon Chemicals is operating at the current time. Most of Acelon Chemicals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acelon Chemicals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acelon Chemicals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acelon Chemicals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.