Shijiazhuang Tonhe (China) Price Prediction

300491 Stock   16.78  0.12  0.72%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Shijiazhuang Tonhe's share price is at 52. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shijiazhuang Tonhe, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

52

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shijiazhuang Tonhe's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shijiazhuang Tonhe Electronics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shijiazhuang Tonhe's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.34
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.81
Wall Street Target Price
19.6533
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.023
Using Shijiazhuang Tonhe hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shijiazhuang Tonhe Electronics from the perspective of Shijiazhuang Tonhe response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shijiazhuang Tonhe to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shijiazhuang because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Shijiazhuang Tonhe after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 16.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Shijiazhuang Tonhe Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7913.7217.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.1216.0619.99
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.090.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shijiazhuang Tonhe. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shijiazhuang Tonhe's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shijiazhuang Tonhe's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shijiazhuang Tonhe.

Shijiazhuang Tonhe After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shijiazhuang Tonhe at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shijiazhuang Tonhe or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shijiazhuang Tonhe, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shijiazhuang Tonhe Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shijiazhuang Tonhe's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shijiazhuang Tonhe's historical news coverage. Shijiazhuang Tonhe's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.85 and 20.71, respectively. We have considered Shijiazhuang Tonhe's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.78
16.78
After-hype Price
20.71
Upside
Shijiazhuang Tonhe is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shijiazhuang Tonhe is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shijiazhuang Tonhe Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shijiazhuang Tonhe is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shijiazhuang Tonhe backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shijiazhuang Tonhe, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.49 
3.93
 0.00  
  0.04 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.78
16.78
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Shijiazhuang Tonhe Hype Timeline

Shijiazhuang Tonhe is presently traded for 16.78on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Shijiazhuang is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shijiazhuang Tonhe is about 5328.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.74. About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Shijiazhuang Tonhe was presently reported as 6.47. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of July 2024. Shijiazhuang Tonhe had 18:10 split on the 26th of April 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Shijiazhuang Tonhe Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Shijiazhuang Tonhe Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shijiazhuang Tonhe's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shijiazhuang Tonhe's future price movements. Getting to know how Shijiazhuang Tonhe's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shijiazhuang Tonhe may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601288Agricultural Bank of 0.00 0 per month 1.69 (0.02) 2.13 (2.42) 7.78 
601398Industrial and Commercial(0.04)2 per month 1.24 (0.01) 2.83 (2.53) 8.14 
601988Bank of China(0.33)3 per month 1.27 (0.03) 2.67 (2.40) 7.70 
601857PetroChina Co Ltd(0.09)2 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.55 (3.33) 17.17 
600028China Petroleum Chemical(0.08)2 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.23 (3.26) 10.77 
601658Postal Savings Bank 0.02 1 per month 1.40  0.06  3.49 (2.32) 9.13 
601728China Telecom Corp(0.07)3 per month 1.72  0.03  3.49 (2.81) 11.12 
601816Beijing Shanghai High Speed 0.00 0 per month 1.56  0.07  2.99 (2.40) 11.88 

Shijiazhuang Tonhe Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shijiazhuang price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shijiazhuang using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shijiazhuang charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Shijiazhuang Tonhe Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Shijiazhuang Tonhe stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shijiazhuang Tonhe Electronics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shijiazhuang Tonhe based on analysis of Shijiazhuang Tonhe hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shijiazhuang Tonhe's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shijiazhuang Tonhe's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Shijiazhuang Tonhe

The number of cover stories for Shijiazhuang Tonhe depends on current market conditions and Shijiazhuang Tonhe's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shijiazhuang Tonhe is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shijiazhuang Tonhe's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Shijiazhuang Tonhe Short Properties

Shijiazhuang Tonhe's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shijiazhuang Tonhe's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shijiazhuang Tonhe Electronics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shijiazhuang Tonhe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shijiazhuang Tonhe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding174 M

Complementary Tools for Shijiazhuang Stock analysis

When running Shijiazhuang Tonhe's price analysis, check to measure Shijiazhuang Tonhe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shijiazhuang Tonhe is operating at the current time. Most of Shijiazhuang Tonhe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shijiazhuang Tonhe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shijiazhuang Tonhe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shijiazhuang Tonhe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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