Jilin Jlu (China) Price Prediction
| 300597 Stock | 9.16 0.16 1.78% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using Jilin Jlu hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jilin Jlu Communication from the perspective of Jilin Jlu response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jilin Jlu to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jilin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Jilin Jlu after-hype prediction price | CNY 8.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Jilin |
Jilin Jlu After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jilin Jlu at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jilin Jlu or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jilin Jlu, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jilin Jlu Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jilin Jlu's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jilin Jlu's historical news coverage. Jilin Jlu's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.66 and 13.10, respectively. We have considered Jilin Jlu's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jilin Jlu is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jilin Jlu Communication is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jilin Jlu Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jilin Jlu is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jilin Jlu backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jilin Jlu, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.57 | 4.22 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.16 | 8.88 | 3.06 |
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Jilin Jlu Hype Timeline
Jilin Jlu Communication is presently traded for 9.16on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Jilin is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -3.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.57%. The volatility of related hype on Jilin Jlu is about 70333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.16. About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Jilin Jlu was presently reported as 3.74. The company last dividend was issued on the 9th of July 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Jilin Jlu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Jilin Jlu Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jilin Jlu's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jilin Jlu's future price movements. Getting to know how Jilin Jlu's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jilin Jlu may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601615 | Ming Yang Smart | 0.13 | 2 per month | 2.39 | 0.12 | 7.35 | (4.15) | 18.14 | |
| 159681 | 159681 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.93 | 0.11 | 8.99 | (4.00) | 36.32 | |
| 159005 | 159005 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (4.35) | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.14 | |
| 300729 | Loctek Ergonomic Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.80 | 0.08 | 6.27 | (2.63) | 24.80 | |
| 516220 | 516220 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.66 | 0.05 | 5.26 | (3.03) | 17.74 | |
| 002096 | Hunan Nanling Industrial | 0.01 | 1 per month | 2.39 | 0.02 | 4.30 | (3.86) | 13.27 | |
| 300243 | Shandong Ruifeng Chemical | (0.50) | 1 per month | 3.12 | 0.15 | 10.41 | (4.60) | 26.79 | |
| 603269 | Jiangsu Seagull Cooling | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.66 | 0.05 | 5.98 | (4.63) | 16.65 | |
| 300049 | Inner Mongolia Furui | 0.30 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.57 | (7.51) | 28.09 | |
| 600895 | Shanghai Zhangjiang Hi Tech | 0.00 | 1 per month | 3.13 | 0.15 | 10.01 | (5.11) | 19.00 |
Jilin Jlu Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jilin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jilin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jilin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Jilin Jlu Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Jilin Jlu stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jilin Jlu Communication, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jilin Jlu based on analysis of Jilin Jlu hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jilin Jlu's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jilin Jlu's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Jilin Jlu
The number of cover stories for Jilin Jlu depends on current market conditions and Jilin Jlu's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jilin Jlu is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jilin Jlu's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jilin Jlu Short Properties
Jilin Jlu's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jilin Jlu's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jilin Jlu Communication often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jilin Jlu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jilin Jlu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 272.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 8.8 M | |
| Shares Float | 193.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Jilin Stock analysis
When running Jilin Jlu's price analysis, check to measure Jilin Jlu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jilin Jlu is operating at the current time. Most of Jilin Jlu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jilin Jlu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jilin Jlu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jilin Jlu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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