Renxin New (China) Price Prediction

301395 Stock   11.73  0.22  1.84%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Renxin New's the stock price is about 62. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Renxin, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Renxin New's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Renxin New Material, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Renxin New's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.059
Using Renxin New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Renxin New Material from the perspective of Renxin New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Renxin New to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Renxin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Renxin New after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 12.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Renxin New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.929.6013.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Renxin New. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Renxin New's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Renxin New's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Renxin New Material.

Renxin New After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Renxin New at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Renxin New or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Renxin New, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Renxin New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Renxin New's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Renxin New's historical news coverage. Renxin New's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.45 and 15.81, respectively. We have considered Renxin New's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.73
12.13
After-hype Price
15.81
Upside
Renxin New is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Renxin New Material is based on 3 months time horizon.

Renxin New Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Renxin New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Renxin New backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Renxin New, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.51 
3.68
  0.40 
  0.12 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.73
12.13
3.41 
471.79  
Notes

Renxin New Hype Timeline

Renxin New Material is presently traded for 11.73on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Renxin is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 3.41%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Renxin New is about 1533.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.85. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Renxin New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Renxin New Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Renxin New's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Renxin New's future price movements. Getting to know how Renxin New's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Renxin New may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Renxin New Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Renxin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Renxin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Renxin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Renxin New Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Renxin New stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Renxin New Material, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Renxin New based on analysis of Renxin New hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Renxin New's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Renxin New's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Renxin New

The number of cover stories for Renxin New depends on current market conditions and Renxin New's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Renxin New is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Renxin New's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Renxin New Short Properties

Renxin New's future price predictability will typically decrease when Renxin New's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Renxin New Material often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Renxin New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Renxin New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0837
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1
Shares Float93.4 M

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When running Renxin New's price analysis, check to measure Renxin New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Renxin New is operating at the current time. Most of Renxin New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Renxin New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Renxin New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Renxin New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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