Macquarie Group (Germany) Price Prediction

4M4 Stock  EUR 139.96  2.54  1.78%   
As of 23rd of November 2024, The value of RSI of Macquarie Group's share price is at 57. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Macquarie Group, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

57

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Macquarie Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Macquarie Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Macquarie Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Macquarie Group Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Macquarie Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Macquarie Group Limited from the perspective of Macquarie Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Macquarie Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Macquarie because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Macquarie Group after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 139.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Macquarie Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
136.74138.06153.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
142.12143.45144.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
139.86140.01140.16
Details

Macquarie Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Macquarie Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Macquarie Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Macquarie Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Macquarie Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Macquarie Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Macquarie Group's historical news coverage. Macquarie Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 138.64 and 141.28, respectively. We have considered Macquarie Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
139.96
138.64
Downside
139.96
After-hype Price
141.28
Upside
Macquarie Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Macquarie Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Macquarie Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Macquarie Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Macquarie Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Macquarie Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
1.35
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
139.96
139.96
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Macquarie Group Hype Timeline

Macquarie Group is presently traded for 139.96on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Macquarie is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Macquarie Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 139.96. About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The book value of Macquarie Group was presently reported as 84.87. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.09. Macquarie Group last dividend was issued on the 7th of November 2022. The entity had 0:1 split on the 16th of December 2013. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Macquarie Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Macquarie Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Macquarie Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Macquarie Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Macquarie Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Macquarie Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Macquarie Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Macquarie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Macquarie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Macquarie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Macquarie Group Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Macquarie Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Macquarie Group Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Macquarie Group based on analysis of Macquarie Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Macquarie Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Macquarie Group's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Macquarie Group

The number of cover stories for Macquarie Group depends on current market conditions and Macquarie Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Macquarie Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Macquarie Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Macquarie Group Short Properties

Macquarie Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Macquarie Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Macquarie Group Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Macquarie Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Macquarie Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding368.4 M

Complementary Tools for Macquarie Stock analysis

When running Macquarie Group's price analysis, check to measure Macquarie Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Macquarie Group is operating at the current time. Most of Macquarie Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Macquarie Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Macquarie Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Macquarie Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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