China Minsheng (China) Price Prediction
| 600016 Stock | 3.94 0.01 0.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.16) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.23 | Wall Street Target Price 3.79 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.22 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using China Minsheng hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Minsheng Banking from the perspective of China Minsheng response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Minsheng to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
China Minsheng after-hype prediction price | CNY 3.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
China Minsheng After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Minsheng at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Minsheng or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of China Minsheng, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Minsheng Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Minsheng's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Minsheng's historical news coverage. China Minsheng's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.77 and 6.09, respectively. We have considered China Minsheng's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Minsheng is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Minsheng Banking is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Minsheng Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Minsheng is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Minsheng backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Minsheng, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.16 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.94 | 3.93 | 0.25 |
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China Minsheng Hype Timeline
China Minsheng Banking is presently traded for 3.94on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. China is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on China Minsheng is about 1146.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.99. About 53.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.28. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. China Minsheng Banking has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.4. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2024. The firm had 1.2:1 split on the 5th of July 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out China Minsheng Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.China Minsheng Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Minsheng's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Minsheng's future price movements. Getting to know how China Minsheng's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Minsheng may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601002 | Gem Year Industrial Co | 0.08 | 1 per month | 2.24 | 0.17 | 7.19 | (3.38) | 14.80 | |
| 000019 | Shenzhen Shenbao Industrial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | 0.08 | 3.67 | (2.76) | 15.66 | |
| 600007 | China World Trade | 0.77 | 3 per month | 2.41 | 0 | 3.14 | (2.72) | 14.81 | |
| 600423 | Liuzhou Chemical Industry | 0.07 | 1 per month | 2.17 | 0.13 | 5.00 | (3.30) | 17.45 | |
| 002442 | Longxing Chemical Stock | 0.21 | 2 per month | 1.82 | 0.17 | 3.54 | (2.43) | 15.48 | |
| 000698 | Shenyang Chemical Industry | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.46 | 0.15 | 6.79 | (3.45) | 17.32 |
China Minsheng Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About China Minsheng Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of China Minsheng stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Minsheng Banking, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Minsheng based on analysis of China Minsheng hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Minsheng's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Minsheng's related companies.
Story Coverage note for China Minsheng
The number of cover stories for China Minsheng depends on current market conditions and China Minsheng's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Minsheng is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Minsheng's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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China Minsheng Short Properties
China Minsheng's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Minsheng's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Minsheng Banking often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Minsheng's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Minsheng's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.8 B |
Complementary Tools for China Stock analysis
When running China Minsheng's price analysis, check to measure China Minsheng's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Minsheng is operating at the current time. Most of China Minsheng's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Minsheng's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Minsheng's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Minsheng to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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