Humanwell Healthcare (China) Price Prediction
| 600079 Stock | 22.49 0.99 4.22% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.07 | Wall Street Target Price 24.75 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 |
Using Humanwell Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Humanwell Healthcare Group from the perspective of Humanwell Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Humanwell Healthcare to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Humanwell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Humanwell Healthcare after-hype prediction price | CNY 23.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Humanwell |
Humanwell Healthcare After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Humanwell Healthcare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Humanwell Healthcare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Humanwell Healthcare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Humanwell Healthcare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Humanwell Healthcare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Humanwell Healthcare's historical news coverage. Humanwell Healthcare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.36 and 26.38, respectively. We have considered Humanwell Healthcare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Humanwell Healthcare is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Humanwell Healthcare is based on 3 months time horizon.
Humanwell Healthcare Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Humanwell Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Humanwell Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Humanwell Healthcare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 3.07 | 0.32 | 0.11 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.49 | 23.37 | 1.81 |
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Humanwell Healthcare Hype Timeline
Humanwell Healthcare is presently traded for 22.49on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Humanwell is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 23.37. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.81%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Humanwell Healthcare is about 769.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.38. About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Humanwell Healthcare was presently reported as 11.18. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of October 2024. Humanwell Healthcare had 20:10 split on the 22nd of July 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Humanwell Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Humanwell Healthcare Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Humanwell Healthcare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Humanwell Healthcare's future price movements. Getting to know how Humanwell Healthcare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Humanwell Healthcare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601668 | China State Construction | (0.04) | 1 per month | 2.40 | 0.03 | 5.25 | (3.97) | 15.78 | |
| 600048 | Poly Real Estate | (0.03) | 2 per month | 2.85 | 0.07 | 5.32 | (3.33) | 20.02 | |
| 000002 | China Vanke Co | 0.88 | 2 per month | 2.65 | 0.09 | 8.70 | (3.84) | 20.01 | |
| 001979 | China Merchants Shekou | 0.09 | 1 per month | 3.03 | 0.08 | 4.99 | (4.33) | 19.96 | |
| 600325 | Huafa Industrial Co | (0.08) | 1 per month | 2.64 | 0.04 | 6.36 | (3.51) | 20.03 | |
| 601995 | China International Capital | 0.45 | 2 per month | 2.72 | 0.09 | 8.00 | (4.56) | 20.01 | |
| 600519 | Kweichow Moutai Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.80 | 0.02 | 6.55 | (2.98) | 16.71 | |
| 600153 | Xiamen CD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | 0.11 | 6.39 | (2.49) | 19.45 | |
| 300750 | Contemporary Amperex Technology | (5.26) | 2 per month | 2.93 | 0.15 | 7.94 | (3.40) | 33.42 | |
| 600340 | China Fortune Land | 0.00 | 1 per month | 3.93 | 0.27 | 10.14 | (9.70) | 20.27 |
Humanwell Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Humanwell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Humanwell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Humanwell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Humanwell Healthcare Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Humanwell Healthcare stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Humanwell Healthcare Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Humanwell Healthcare based on analysis of Humanwell Healthcare hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Humanwell Healthcare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Humanwell Healthcare's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Humanwell Healthcare
The number of cover stories for Humanwell Healthcare depends on current market conditions and Humanwell Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Humanwell Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Humanwell Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Humanwell Healthcare Short Properties
Humanwell Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when Humanwell Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Humanwell Healthcare Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Humanwell Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Humanwell Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B |
Complementary Tools for Humanwell Stock analysis
When running Humanwell Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Humanwell Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Humanwell Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Humanwell Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Humanwell Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Humanwell Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Humanwell Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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