Wanhua Chemical (China) Price Prediction
| 600309 Stock | 73.89 2.90 3.78% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.30) | Wall Street Target Price 98.76 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.6 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.125 |
Using Wanhua Chemical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wanhua Chemical Group from the perspective of Wanhua Chemical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Wanhua Chemical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Wanhua because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Wanhua Chemical after-hype prediction price | CNY 76.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Wanhua |
Wanhua Chemical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Wanhua Chemical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wanhua Chemical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wanhua Chemical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Wanhua Chemical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Wanhua Chemical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wanhua Chemical's historical news coverage. Wanhua Chemical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 74.16 and 79.20, respectively. We have considered Wanhua Chemical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Wanhua Chemical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wanhua Chemical Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Wanhua Chemical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wanhua Chemical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wanhua Chemical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wanhua Chemical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.57 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
73.89 | 76.68 | 0.00 |
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Wanhua Chemical Hype Timeline
Wanhua Chemical Group is presently traded for 73.89on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Wanhua is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wanhua Chemical is about 605.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.83. About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Wanhua Chemical was presently reported as 29.68. The company last dividend was issued on the 5th of September 2024. Wanhua Chemical Group had 12:10 split on the 18th of May 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Wanhua Chemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Wanhua Chemical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Wanhua Chemical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wanhua Chemical's future price movements. Getting to know how Wanhua Chemical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wanhua Chemical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 688521 | VeriSilicon Microelectronics Shanghai | (3.04) | 1 per month | 3.08 | 0.16 | 13.33 | (6.33) | 30.42 | |
| 603260 | Hoshine Silicon Ind | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.42 | 0.11 | 4.90 | (3.79) | 17.89 | |
| 600309 | Wanhua Chemical Group | 0.26 | 2 per month | 2.19 | (0) | 3.92 | (3.05) | 16.38 | |
| 300243 | Shandong Ruifeng Chemical | (0.50) | 1 per month | 3.05 | 0.13 | 10.41 | (4.60) | 26.79 | |
| 002250 | Lianhe Chemical Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.21 | 0.09 | 4.52 | (3.89) | 18.29 | |
| 300054 | Hubei Dinglong Chemical | (0.24) | 1 per month | 2.12 | 0.11 | 5.69 | (4.25) | 22.72 | |
| 688126 | National Silicon Industry | (0.21) | 1 per month | 2.87 | 0.12 | 14.22 | (4.86) | 29.35 | |
| 002258 | Lier Chemical Co | (0.09) | 1 per month | 1.86 | 0.06 | 4.44 | (2.48) | 17.33 | |
| 002632 | Daoming OpticsChemical Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.67 | 0.11 | 5.13 | (4.01) | 19.89 |
Wanhua Chemical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wanhua price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wanhua using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wanhua charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Wanhua Chemical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Wanhua Chemical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Wanhua Chemical Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Wanhua Chemical based on analysis of Wanhua Chemical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Wanhua Chemical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Wanhua Chemical's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Wanhua Chemical
The number of cover stories for Wanhua Chemical depends on current market conditions and Wanhua Chemical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wanhua Chemical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wanhua Chemical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Wanhua Chemical Short Properties
Wanhua Chemical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wanhua Chemical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wanhua Chemical Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wanhua Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wanhua Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 B |
Complementary Tools for Wanhua Stock analysis
When running Wanhua Chemical's price analysis, check to measure Wanhua Chemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wanhua Chemical is operating at the current time. Most of Wanhua Chemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wanhua Chemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wanhua Chemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wanhua Chemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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