Xinjiang Tianrun (China) Price Prediction
| 600419 Stock | 9.39 0.37 4.10% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
72
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.004 | Wall Street Target Price 10.31 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 |
Using Xinjiang Tianrun hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy from the perspective of Xinjiang Tianrun response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xinjiang Tianrun to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xinjiang because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xinjiang Tianrun after-hype prediction price | CNY 9.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xinjiang |
Xinjiang Tianrun After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xinjiang Tianrun at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xinjiang Tianrun or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xinjiang Tianrun, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xinjiang Tianrun Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xinjiang Tianrun's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xinjiang Tianrun's historical news coverage. Xinjiang Tianrun's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.48 and 12.28, respectively. We have considered Xinjiang Tianrun's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xinjiang Tianrun is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xinjiang Tianrun Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xinjiang Tianrun is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xinjiang Tianrun backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xinjiang Tianrun, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 2.90 | 0.01 | 0.50 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.39 | 9.38 | 0.11 |
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Xinjiang Tianrun Hype Timeline
Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy is presently traded for 9.39on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.5. Xinjiang is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Xinjiang Tianrun is about 261.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.89. About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.22. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy last dividend was issued on the 5th of July 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 28th of May 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Xinjiang Tianrun Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xinjiang Tianrun Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xinjiang Tianrun's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xinjiang Tianrun's future price movements. Getting to know how Xinjiang Tianrun's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xinjiang Tianrun may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600519 | Kweichow Moutai Co | (0.13) | 4 per month | 1.87 | 0.0007 | 6.55 | (2.98) | 16.71 | |
| 300760 | Shenzhen Mindray Bio Medical | 2.59 | 1 per month | 2.69 | 0.01 | 9.90 | (4.56) | 19.76 | |
| 603688 | Jiangsu Pacific Quartz | (1.34) | 2 per month | 2.97 | 0.03 | 8.33 | (4.74) | 19.04 | |
| 603444 | G bits Network Technology | (4.18) | 1 per month | 3.16 | (0.02) | 5.21 | (4.79) | 18.75 | |
| 688036 | Shenzhen Transsion Holdings | 1.50 | 1 per month | 3.54 | 0.05 | 6.00 | (4.99) | 31.26 | |
| 688169 | Beijing Roborock Technology | (2.92) | 1 per month | 4.31 | (0.02) | 6.51 | (5.75) | 34.80 | |
| 000568 | Luzhou Lao Jiao | 13.61 | 1 per month | 2.67 | 0.04 | 10.00 | (4.82) | 20.00 | |
| 000719 | Central China Land | 0.01 | 1 per month | 2.35 | (0) | 3.75 | (3.71) | 16.97 | |
| 300750 | Contemporary Amperex Technology | 4.16 | 1 per month | 2.98 | 0.14 | 7.94 | (3.41) | 33.42 | |
| 000858 | Wuliangye Yibin Co | (2.19) | 1 per month | 2.25 | 0.05 | 7.27 | (3.56) | 19.98 |
Xinjiang Tianrun Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xinjiang price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xinjiang using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xinjiang charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Xinjiang Tianrun Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xinjiang Tianrun stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xinjiang Tianrun based on analysis of Xinjiang Tianrun hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xinjiang Tianrun's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xinjiang Tianrun's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Xinjiang Tianrun
The number of cover stories for Xinjiang Tianrun depends on current market conditions and Xinjiang Tianrun's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xinjiang Tianrun is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xinjiang Tianrun's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xinjiang Tianrun Short Properties
Xinjiang Tianrun's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xinjiang Tianrun's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xinjiang Tianrun's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xinjiang Tianrun's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 320.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Xinjiang Stock analysis
When running Xinjiang Tianrun's price analysis, check to measure Xinjiang Tianrun's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xinjiang Tianrun is operating at the current time. Most of Xinjiang Tianrun's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xinjiang Tianrun's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xinjiang Tianrun's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xinjiang Tianrun to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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