Caihong Display (China) Price Prediction
| 600707 Stock | 6.89 0.03 0.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.45) | Wall Street Target Price 18.69 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
Using Caihong Display hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caihong Display Devices from the perspective of Caihong Display response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Caihong Display to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Caihong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Caihong Display after-hype prediction price | CNY 6.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Caihong |
Caihong Display After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Caihong Display at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Caihong Display or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Caihong Display, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Caihong Display Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Caihong Display's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Caihong Display's historical news coverage. Caihong Display's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.76 and 10.00, respectively. We have considered Caihong Display's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Caihong Display is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Caihong Display Devices is based on 3 months time horizon.
Caihong Display Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Caihong Display is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caihong Display backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Caihong Display, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 3.12 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.89 | 6.88 | 0.15 |
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Caihong Display Hype Timeline
Caihong Display Devices is presently traded for 6.89on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Caihong is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Caihong Display is about 2373.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.86. About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.15. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Caihong Display Devices last dividend was issued on the 19th of July 2005. The entity had 14.2:10 split on the 28th of July 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Caihong Display Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Caihong Display Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Caihong Display's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Caihong Display's future price movements. Getting to know how Caihong Display's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Caihong Display may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 200468 | Nanjing Putian Telecommunications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.52 | 0.28 | 9.34 | (4.23) | 20.06 | |
| 002168 | Shenzhen Hifuture Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.37 | (0.01) | 5.14 | (4.98) | 16.24 | |
| 000692 | Shenyang Huitian Thermal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.59 | 0.04 | 7.18 | (4.16) | 17.12 | |
| 300013 | Jiangsu Xinning Modern | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.77 | 0.16 | 7.76 | (7.60) | 23.57 | |
| 600462 | Hubei Geoway Investment | 0.05 | 1 per month | 2.78 | (0.01) | 5.22 | (4.79) | 10.42 | |
| 002200 | Yunnan Yuntou Ecology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | 0.1 | 4.36 | (3.42) | 9.16 | |
| 600198 | Datang Telecom Technology | (0.97) | 2 per month | 4.61 | 0.19 | 10.02 | (9.98) | 20.08 |
Caihong Display Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Caihong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caihong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caihong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Caihong Display Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Caihong Display stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Caihong Display Devices, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Caihong Display based on analysis of Caihong Display hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Caihong Display's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Caihong Display's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Caihong Display
The number of cover stories for Caihong Display depends on current market conditions and Caihong Display's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caihong Display is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caihong Display's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Caihong Display Short Properties
Caihong Display's future price predictability will typically decrease when Caihong Display's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Caihong Display Devices often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Caihong Display's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caihong Display's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.6 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 599.7 M | |
| Shares Float | 1.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Caihong Stock analysis
When running Caihong Display's price analysis, check to measure Caihong Display's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caihong Display is operating at the current time. Most of Caihong Display's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caihong Display's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caihong Display's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caihong Display to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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