Shandong Sinoglory (China) Price Prediction

603182 Stock   11.93  0.35  2.85%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Shandong Sinoglory's the stock price is about 63. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 24th of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shandong, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shandong Sinoglory's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shandong Sinoglory Health, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shandong Sinoglory's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.21)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.19)
Using Shandong Sinoglory hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shandong Sinoglory Health from the perspective of Shandong Sinoglory response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shandong Sinoglory to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shandong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Shandong Sinoglory after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 12.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Shandong Sinoglory Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.369.8312.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.3911.8614.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.7212.0512.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shandong Sinoglory. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shandong Sinoglory's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shandong Sinoglory's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shandong Sinoglory Health.

Shandong Sinoglory After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shandong Sinoglory at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shandong Sinoglory or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shandong Sinoglory, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shandong Sinoglory Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shandong Sinoglory's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shandong Sinoglory's historical news coverage. Shandong Sinoglory's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.64 and 14.58, respectively. We have considered Shandong Sinoglory's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.93
12.11
After-hype Price
14.58
Upside
Shandong Sinoglory is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shandong Sinoglory Health is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shandong Sinoglory Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shandong Sinoglory is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shandong Sinoglory backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shandong Sinoglory, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
2.47
  0.18 
  0.04 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.93
12.11
1.51 
449.09  
Notes

Shandong Sinoglory Hype Timeline

Shandong Sinoglory Health is presently traded for 11.93on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Shandong is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.11 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.51%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Shandong Sinoglory is about 1976.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.97. The company reported the revenue of 1.69 B. Net Income was 110.14 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 208.37 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Shandong Sinoglory Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Shandong Sinoglory Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shandong Sinoglory's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shandong Sinoglory's future price movements. Getting to know how Shandong Sinoglory's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shandong Sinoglory may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
600028China Petroleum Chemical 0.06 2 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.21 (3.26) 10.77 
601857PetroChina Co Ltd(0.09)2 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.43 (3.33) 17.17 
601668China State Construction 0.02 1 per month 2.48  0.01  5.25 (3.97) 15.78 
601390China Railway Group(0.06)2 per month 2.41  0.01  5.32 (3.87) 17.45 
601186China Railway Construction 0.40 1 per month 2.58  0.03  6.73 (4.77) 17.07 
600941China Mobile Limited 0.71 2 per month 1.18 (0.08) 2.05 (2.04) 8.38 
601398Industrial and Commercial(0.04)3 per month 1.58 (0.06) 2.83 (3.06) 8.14 
601628China Life Insurance(0.02)3 per month 2.22  0.14  6.42 (3.18) 20.00 
601318Ping An Insurance 0.26 1 per month 1.83  0.11  5.83 (2.83) 19.77 
601939China Construction Bank 0.01 2 per month 1.76 (0.04) 3.32 (3.86) 8.64 

Shandong Sinoglory Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shandong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shandong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shandong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Shandong Sinoglory Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Shandong Sinoglory stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shandong Sinoglory Health, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shandong Sinoglory based on analysis of Shandong Sinoglory hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shandong Sinoglory's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shandong Sinoglory's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Shandong Sinoglory

The number of cover stories for Shandong Sinoglory depends on current market conditions and Shandong Sinoglory's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shandong Sinoglory is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shandong Sinoglory's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Shandong Sinoglory Short Properties

Shandong Sinoglory's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shandong Sinoglory's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shandong Sinoglory Health often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shandong Sinoglory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shandong Sinoglory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding164.6 M

Complementary Tools for Shandong Stock analysis

When running Shandong Sinoglory's price analysis, check to measure Shandong Sinoglory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shandong Sinoglory is operating at the current time. Most of Shandong Sinoglory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shandong Sinoglory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shandong Sinoglory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shandong Sinoglory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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