Fulgent Sun (Taiwan) Price Prediction
9802 Stock | TWD 113.00 1.50 1.31% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fulgent Sun hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fulgent Sun International from the perspective of Fulgent Sun response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fulgent Sun to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fulgent because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fulgent Sun after-hype prediction price | TWD 113.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fulgent |
Fulgent Sun After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fulgent Sun at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fulgent Sun or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fulgent Sun, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Fulgent Sun Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fulgent Sun's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fulgent Sun's historical news coverage. Fulgent Sun's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 111.14 and 114.86, respectively. We have considered Fulgent Sun's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fulgent Sun is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fulgent Sun International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fulgent Sun Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fulgent Sun is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fulgent Sun backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fulgent Sun, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
113.00 | 113.00 | 0.00 |
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Fulgent Sun Hype Timeline
Fulgent Sun International is presently traded for 113.00on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fulgent is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fulgent Sun is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 113.00. About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Fulgent Sun was presently reported as 65.35. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 16.74. Fulgent Sun International last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2023. The entity had 1279:1261 split on the 11th of August 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Fulgent Sun Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fulgent Sun Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fulgent Sun's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fulgent Sun's future price movements. Getting to know how Fulgent Sun's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fulgent Sun may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
9910 | Feng Tay Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.54 | (3.05) | 10.05 | |
9904 | Pou Chen Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.71 | 0.17 | 2.71 | (1.38) | 6.26 | |
9938 | Taiwan Paiho | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0.14 | 6.11 | (3.35) | 13.31 | |
9914 | Merida Industry Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 3.41 | (3.85) | 10.94 | |
3533 | Lotes Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.81 | 0.05 | 5.81 | (4.84) | 14.77 |
Fulgent Sun Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fulgent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fulgent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fulgent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
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Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
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Volume Indicators |
About Fulgent Sun Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fulgent Sun stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fulgent Sun International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fulgent Sun based on analysis of Fulgent Sun hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fulgent Sun's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fulgent Sun's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Fulgent Sun
The number of cover stories for Fulgent Sun depends on current market conditions and Fulgent Sun's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fulgent Sun is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fulgent Sun's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fulgent Sun Short Properties
Fulgent Sun's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fulgent Sun's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fulgent Sun International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fulgent Sun's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fulgent Sun's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 185.5 M |
Additional Tools for Fulgent Stock Analysis
When running Fulgent Sun's price analysis, check to measure Fulgent Sun's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fulgent Sun is operating at the current time. Most of Fulgent Sun's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fulgent Sun's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fulgent Sun's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fulgent Sun to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.