Ascentage Pharma Group Stock Price Patterns

AAPG Stock   23.61  0.91  3.71%   
As of 10th of February 2026, the RSI of Ascentage Pharma's share price is approaching 39. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ascentage Pharma, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 39

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ascentage Pharma's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ascentage Pharma and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ascentage Pharma's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ascentage Pharma Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ascentage Pharma's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.38)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.48)
Wall Street Target Price
45.7143
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.72)
Using Ascentage Pharma hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ascentage Pharma Group from the perspective of Ascentage Pharma response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Ascentage Pharma Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Ascentage Pharma's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ascentage. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ascentage can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ascentage Pharma Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ascentage Pharma's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ascentage Pharma.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ascentage Pharma to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ascentage because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ascentage Pharma after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Ascentage Pharma Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2528.7532.23
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
41.6045.7150.74
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.63-0.35-0.1
Details

Ascentage Pharma After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ascentage Pharma at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ascentage Pharma or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ascentage Pharma, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ascentage Pharma Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ascentage Pharma's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ascentage Pharma's historical news coverage. Ascentage Pharma's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.46 and 27.42, respectively. We have considered Ascentage Pharma's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.61
23.94
After-hype Price
27.42
Upside
Ascentage Pharma is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ascentage Pharma is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ascentage Pharma Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ascentage Pharma is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ascentage Pharma backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ascentage Pharma, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.49 
3.48
  0.33 
  0.20 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.61
23.94
1.40 
511.76  
Notes

Ascentage Pharma Hype Timeline

Ascentage Pharma is presently traded for 23.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.2. Ascentage is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.94 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 1.4%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Ascentage Pharma is about 834.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.41. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 980.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (395.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 354.93 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Ascentage Pharma Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ascentage Pharma Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ascentage Pharma's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ascentage Pharma's future price movements. Getting to know how Ascentage Pharma's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ascentage Pharma may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CNTACentessa Pharmaceuticals PLC(0.70)8 per month 2.74 (0.02) 4.97 (5.14) 26.54 
APGEApogee Therapeutics Common 0.89 8 per month 2.82  0.05  4.56 (4.24) 23.21 
CELCCelcuity LLC(0.70)19 per month 2.00  0.18  5.87 (3.07) 17.89 
XENEXenon Pharmaceuticals(2.30)9 per month 1.76  0.02  3.78 (2.30) 10.56 
CGONCG Oncology Common(0.40)7 per month 2.52  0.09  5.15 (4.40) 34.61 
ZLABZai Lab(0.28)8 per month 0.00 (0.22) 4.75 (4.03) 10.32 
LEGNLegend Biotech Corp(0.99)10 per month 0.00 (0.30) 3.83 (6.84) 19.65 
RAREUltragenyx(0.12)9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.73 (4.09) 51.23 
IRONDisc Medicine(0.57)8 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.33 (4.53) 14.87 
SLNOSoleno Therapeutics 1.00 11 per month 0.00 (0.13) 5.40 (5.49) 26.59 

Ascentage Pharma Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ascentage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ascentage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ascentage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ascentage Pharma Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ascentage Pharma stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ascentage Pharma Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ascentage Pharma based on analysis of Ascentage Pharma hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ascentage Pharma's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ascentage Pharma's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Payables Turnover0.420.320.360.46
Days Of Inventory On Hand193.282.7995.2190.45

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