Acres Commercial Realty Stock Price Patterns
| ACR Stock | USD 19.15 0.37 1.90% |
Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.722 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.12 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.01) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8567 | Wall Street Target Price 24.5 |
Using Acres Commercial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acres Commercial Realty from the perspective of Acres Commercial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Acres Commercial using Acres Commercial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Acres using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Acres Commercial's stock price.
Acres Commercial Implied Volatility | 1.1 |
Acres Commercial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Acres Commercial Realty stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Acres Commercial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Acres Commercial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Acres Commercial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Acres Commercial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Acres because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Acres Commercial after-hype prediction price | USD 19.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Acres contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Acres Commercial Realty will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0688% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Acres Commercial trading at USD 19.15, that is roughly USD 0.0132 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Acres Commercial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Acres Commercial Realty options at the current volatility level of 1.1%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Acres Commercial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acres Commercial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acres Commercial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Acres Commercial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acres Commercial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acres Commercial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Acres Commercial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Acres Commercial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acres Commercial's historical news coverage. Acres Commercial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.10 and 21.12, respectively. We have considered Acres Commercial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Acres Commercial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acres Commercial Realty is based on 3 months time horizon.
Acres Commercial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acres Commercial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acres Commercial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acres Commercial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.01 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.15 | 19.11 | 0.21 |
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Acres Commercial Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Acres Commercial Realty is traded for 19.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Acres is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Acres Commercial is about 1218.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.18. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.32. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Acres Commercial Realty has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.49. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2019. The firm had 1:3 split on the 17th of February 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Acres Commercial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Acres Commercial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acres Commercial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acres Commercial's future price movements. Getting to know how Acres Commercial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acres Commercial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SEVN | Seven Hills Realty | 0.21 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.91 | (3.40) | 8.39 | |
| GPMT | Granite Point Mortgage | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.69 | (3.44) | 15.62 | |
| FSP | Franklin Street Properties | 0.03 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.04 | (4.95) | 12.99 | |
| STRW | Strawberry Fields REIT | 0.71 | 30 per month | 1.75 | 0.07 | 2.93 | (2.94) | 9.86 | |
| MDV | Modiv Inc | (0.07) | 11 per month | 1.01 | 0.03 | 2.31 | (2.16) | 7.01 | |
| CHMI | Cherry Hill Mortgage | (0.02) | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.11 | 3.52 | (2.26) | 9.35 | |
| ONL | Orion Office Reit | (0.09) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.90 | (3.92) | 20.57 | |
| BHR | Braemar Hotel Resorts | (0.38) | 19 per month | 2.26 | (0.01) | 4.83 | (3.87) | 12.09 | |
| LFT | Lument Finance Trust | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.92 | (4.82) | 19.19 | |
| JFB | JFB Construction Holdings | 1.35 | 8 per month | 4.96 | 0.19 | 13.60 | (8.30) | 33.08 |
Acres Commercial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acres price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acres using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acres charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Acres Commercial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Acres Commercial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Acres Commercial Realty, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Acres Commercial based on analysis of Acres Commercial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Acres Commercial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Acres Commercial's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.19 | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.47 | Dividend Yield | 0.24 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.18 |
Pair Trading with Acres Commercial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Acres Commercial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Acres Commercial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Acres Stock
| 0.66 | NKTX | Nkarta Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | BKRKY | Bank Rakyat | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | LILIF | Argentina Lithium Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | BNAI | Brand Engagement Network Trending | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | ZLDAF | Zelira Therapeutics | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | EVGRF | China Evergrande New | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Acres Commercial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Acres Commercial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Acres Commercial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Acres Commercial Realty to buy it.
The correlation of Acres Commercial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Acres Commercial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Acres Commercial Realty moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Acres Commercial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Acres Stock Analysis
When running Acres Commercial's price analysis, check to measure Acres Commercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acres Commercial is operating at the current time. Most of Acres Commercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acres Commercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acres Commercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acres Commercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.