Adf Group Stock Price Prediction
| ADFJF Stock | USD 6.34 0.14 2.26% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ADF hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ADF Group from the perspective of ADF response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ADF to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ADF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ADF after-hype prediction price | USD 6.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ADF |
ADF After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ADF at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ADF or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of ADF, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ADF Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ADF's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ADF's historical news coverage. ADF's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.06 and 10.62, respectively. We have considered ADF's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ADF is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ADF Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
ADF Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ADF is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ADF backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ADF, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 4.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.34 | 6.34 | 0.00 |
|
ADF Hype Timeline
ADF Group is presently traded for 6.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ADF is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on ADF is about 9.223372036854776E16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.34. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.44. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ADF Group last dividend was issued on the 28th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out ADF Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ADF Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ADF's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ADF's future price movements. Getting to know how ADF's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ADF may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHTLF | South32 Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.90 | 0.04 | 4.80 | (5.15) | 28.25 | |
| NB | NioCorp Developments Ltd | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.33 | (7.96) | 28.43 | |
| 444859BR2 | HUMANA INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.93 | (5.79) | 16.62 | |
| SCRYY | SCOR PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.00 | 0.05 | 5.61 | (4.09) | 12.99 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| APAAX | Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.14 | (0.57) | 0.31 | (0.31) | 1.13 | |
| SCRYX | Small Cap Core | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.01 | 2.10 | (1.69) | 7.88 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.63) | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.96 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | (0.12) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 2.80 | |
| ID | SPACE | 0.02 | 1 per month | 3.99 | 0.18 | 7.89 | (6.67) | 20.54 |
ADF Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ADF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ADF using various technical indicators. When you analyze ADF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ADF Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ADF stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ADF Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ADF based on analysis of ADF hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ADF's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ADF's related companies.
Story Coverage note for ADF
The number of cover stories for ADF depends on current market conditions and ADF's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ADF is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ADF's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
ADF Short Properties
ADF's future price predictability will typically decrease when ADF's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ADF Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ADF's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ADF's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.6 M |
Complementary Tools for ADF Pink Sheet analysis
When running ADF's price analysis, check to measure ADF's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ADF is operating at the current time. Most of ADF's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ADF's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ADF's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ADF to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios |