Admiral Group (UK) Price Prediction
| ADM Stock | 2,464 15.00 0.61% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
32
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.348 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.57 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8606 | Wall Street Target Price 3 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.341 |
Using Admiral Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Admiral Group PLC from the perspective of Admiral Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Admiral Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Admiral because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Admiral Group after-hype prediction price | GBX 2427.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Admiral |
Admiral Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Admiral Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Admiral Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Admiral Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Admiral Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Admiral Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Admiral Group's historical news coverage. Admiral Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2,427 and 2,694, respectively. We have considered Admiral Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Admiral Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Admiral Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Admiral Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Admiral Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Admiral Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Admiral Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.05 | 20.46 | 0.41 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2,464 | 2,428 | 0.87 |
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Admiral Group Hype Timeline
Admiral Group PLC is presently traded for 2,464on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -20.46, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.41. Admiral is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2427.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 1.13%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.87%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Admiral Group is about 56.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,464. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.52. Admiral Group PLC last dividend was issued on the 5th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Admiral Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Admiral Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Admiral Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Admiral Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Admiral Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Admiral Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| POW | Power Metal Resources | (0.90) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.26 | (6.03) | 17.14 | |
| FMET | Fulcrum Metals PLC | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.00 | (3.33) | 34.71 | |
| 0LO9 | AMG Advanced Metallurgical | (0.14) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.54 | (4.17) | 11.31 | |
| WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals | (10.00) | 2 per month | 3.13 | 0.02 | 4.95 | (4.25) | 18.21 | |
| 0HPW | Broadridge Financial Solutions | 1.34 | 3 per month | 0.63 | 0.04 | 1.68 | (1.45) | 4.69 | |
| 0YXG | Broadcom | (5.06) | 2 per month | 3.06 | (0.02) | 4.02 | (4.36) | 12.36 | |
| 0UMG | Universal Music Group | 0.48 | 1 per month | 3.52 | (0.03) | 2.36 | (2.22) | 23.79 | |
| SVML | Sovereign Metals | (0.50) | 3 per month | 1.53 | 0.09 | 7.46 | (2.78) | 13.81 |
Admiral Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Admiral price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Admiral using various technical indicators. When you analyze Admiral charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Admiral Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Admiral Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Admiral Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Admiral Group based on analysis of Admiral Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Admiral Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Admiral Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Admiral Group
The number of cover stories for Admiral Group depends on current market conditions and Admiral Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Admiral Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Admiral Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Admiral Group Short Properties
Admiral Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Admiral Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Admiral Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Admiral Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Admiral Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 305.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 353.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Admiral Stock analysis
When running Admiral Group's price analysis, check to measure Admiral Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Admiral Group is operating at the current time. Most of Admiral Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Admiral Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Admiral Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Admiral Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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