AGFA Gevaert (Belgium) Price Prediction
| AGFB Stock | EUR 0.67 0.02 3.08% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
31
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AGFA Gevaert hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AGFA Gevaert NV from the perspective of AGFA Gevaert response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AGFA Gevaert to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AGFA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AGFA Gevaert after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AGFA |
AGFA Gevaert After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AGFA Gevaert at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AGFA Gevaert or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AGFA Gevaert, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AGFA Gevaert Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AGFA Gevaert's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AGFA Gevaert's historical news coverage. AGFA Gevaert's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 4.03, respectively. We have considered AGFA Gevaert's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AGFA Gevaert is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AGFA Gevaert NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
AGFA Gevaert Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AGFA Gevaert is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AGFA Gevaert backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AGFA Gevaert, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 3.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.67 | 0.67 | 0.00 |
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AGFA Gevaert Hype Timeline
AGFA Gevaert NV is presently traded for 0.67on Euronext Brussels of Belgium. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AGFA is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.7%. %. The volatility of related hype on AGFA Gevaert is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.67. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.6. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AGFA Gevaert NV recorded a loss per share of 0.1. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of October 2010. The firm had 1733:1585 split on the 21st of October 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out AGFA Gevaert Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AGFA Gevaert Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AGFA Gevaert's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AGFA Gevaert's future price movements. Getting to know how AGFA Gevaert's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AGFA Gevaert may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BEKB | NV Bekaert SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.59 | (2.81) | 7.40 | |
| BAR | Barco NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.40 | (2.97) | 7.95 | |
| EVS | EVS Broadcast Equipment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.12 | (1.99) | 5.42 | |
| NYR | Nyrstar NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.92 | 0.07 | 14.04 | (12.82) | 55.76 | |
| AGS | ageas SANV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.54 | 0.0004 | 1.60 | (1.11) | 5.15 |
AGFA Gevaert Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AGFA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AGFA using various technical indicators. When you analyze AGFA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AGFA Gevaert Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AGFA Gevaert stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AGFA Gevaert NV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AGFA Gevaert based on analysis of AGFA Gevaert hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AGFA Gevaert's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AGFA Gevaert's related companies.
Story Coverage note for AGFA Gevaert
The number of cover stories for AGFA Gevaert depends on current market conditions and AGFA Gevaert's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AGFA Gevaert is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AGFA Gevaert's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AGFA Gevaert Short Properties
AGFA Gevaert's future price predictability will typically decrease when AGFA Gevaert's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AGFA Gevaert NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AGFA Gevaert's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AGFA Gevaert's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 165 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 400 M |
Additional Tools for AGFA Stock Analysis
When running AGFA Gevaert's price analysis, check to measure AGFA Gevaert's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AGFA Gevaert is operating at the current time. Most of AGFA Gevaert's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AGFA Gevaert's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AGFA Gevaert's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AGFA Gevaert to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.