Astera Labs Stock Price Patterns

ALAB Stock   150.62  9.84  6.13%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Astera Labs' share price is at 57. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Astera Labs, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Astera Labs' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Astera Labs, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Astera Labs' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.62)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4193
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.7785
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.3674
Wall Street Target Price
202.2632
Using Astera Labs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Astera Labs from the perspective of Astera Labs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Astera Labs using Astera Labs' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Astera using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Astera Labs' stock price.

Astera Labs Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Astera Labs' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Astera. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Astera Labs stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
144.681
Short Percent
0.0892
Short Ratio
2.58
Shares Short Prior Month
11.7 M
50 Day MA
161.7907

Astera Labs Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Astera Labs' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Astera. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Astera can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Astera Labs. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Astera Labs' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Astera Labs.

Astera Labs Implied Volatility

    
  0.87  
Astera Labs' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Astera Labs stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Astera Labs' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Astera Labs stock will not fluctuate a lot when Astera Labs' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Astera Labs to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Astera because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Astera Labs after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 150.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Astera contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Astera Labs will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0544% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Astera Labs trading at USD 150.62, that is roughly USD 0.0819 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Astera Labs' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Astera Labs options at the current volatility level of 0.87%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Astera Labs Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Astera Stock refer to our How to Trade Astera Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
125.89131.10165.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
133.97139.18144.40
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
184.06202.26224.51
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.440.510.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Astera Labs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Astera Labs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Astera Labs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Astera Labs.

Astera Labs After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Astera Labs at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Astera Labs or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Astera Labs, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Astera Labs Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Astera Labs' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Astera Labs' historical news coverage. Astera Labs' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 145.41 and 155.83, respectively. We have considered Astera Labs' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
150.62
145.41
Downside
150.62
After-hype Price
155.83
Upside
Astera Labs is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Astera Labs is based on 3 months time horizon.

Astera Labs Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Astera Labs is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Astera Labs backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Astera Labs, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
5.20
  0.28 
  0.22 
23 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 23 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
150.62
150.62
0.00 
281.08  
Notes

Astera Labs Hype Timeline

Astera Labs is presently traded for 150.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.22. Astera is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Astera Labs is about 362.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 150.40. About 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 23 days.
Check out Astera Labs Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Astera Stock refer to our How to Trade Astera Stock guide.

Astera Labs Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Astera Labs' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Astera Labs' future price movements. Getting to know how Astera Labs' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Astera Labs may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MCHPMicrochip Technology(1.38)24 per month 1.95  0.08  6.14 (3.52) 15.07 
TERTeradyne 2.57 9 per month 2.33  0.20  6.80 (4.30) 27.80 
ASXASE Industrial Holding 0.58 20 per month 1.91  0.22  4.23 (3.59) 13.07 
PSTGPure Storage(0.16)11 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.87 (5.74) 34.28 
CRDOCredo Technology Group(14.01)9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 8.34 (7.23) 23.45 
FISFidelity National Information(0.11)9 per month 0.00 (0.19) 1.92 (3.05) 7.89 
KEYSKeysight Technologies(0.49)12 per month 1.35  0.18  2.87 (2.83) 13.11 
HPEHewlett Packard Enterprise(0.44)3 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.75 (4.17) 9.60 
SMCISuper Micro Computer(0.55)9 per month 0.00 (0.24) 4.07 (6.43) 14.71 
SNDKSandisk Corp(0.36)7 per month 5.51  0.27  15.31 (7.88) 36.75 

Astera Labs Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Astera price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Astera using various technical indicators. When you analyze Astera charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Astera Labs Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Astera Labs stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Astera Labs, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Astera Labs based on analysis of Astera Labs hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Astera Labs's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Astera Labs's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Payables Turnover5.683.483.132.99
Days Of Inventory On Hand244.52168.54193.82333.81

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When running Astera Labs' price analysis, check to measure Astera Labs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Astera Labs is operating at the current time. Most of Astera Labs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Astera Labs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Astera Labs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Astera Labs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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