The Allstate Preferred Stock Price Prediction
| ALL-PJ Preferred Stock | 27.27 0.27 1.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Allstate hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Allstate from the perspective of Allstate response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Allstate to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Allstate because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Allstate after-hype prediction price | USD 27.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Allstate |
Allstate Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Allstate at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Allstate or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Allstate, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Allstate Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Allstate is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Allstate backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Allstate, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.27 | 27.00 | 0.00 |
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Allstate Hype Timeline
Allstate is presently traded for 27.27. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Allstate is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Allstate is about 45.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.29. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.Allstate Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Allstate's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Allstate's future price movements. Getting to know how Allstate's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Allstate may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| L | Loews Corp | 0.66 | 11 per month | 1.26 | (0.0005) | 1.45 | (1.88) | 6.40 | |
| CB | Chubb | (2.67) | 8 per month | 1.19 | (0.04) | 1.49 | (1.78) | 6.25 | |
| AFG | American Financial Group | 1.06 | 9 per month | 0.93 | 0.09 | 2.48 | (1.70) | 6.23 | |
| AIZ | Assurant | 1.69 | 8 per month | 1.21 | 0.09 | 1.72 | (1.58) | 7.97 | |
| ALL | The Allstate | 3.84 | 8 per month | 1.16 | 0.05 | 2.02 | (1.69) | 6.34 | |
| BOW | Bowhead Specialty Holdings | (0.79) | 8 per month | 1.65 | 0.07 | 4.57 | (3.06) | 9.35 | |
| CNA | CNA Financial | (0.42) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.38 | (1.94) | 6.06 | |
| HCI | HCI Group | 7.91 | 9 per month | 3.70 | 0.07 | 3.84 | (3.53) | 22.07 | |
| HIG | Hartford Financial Services | 0.51 | 11 per month | 1.59 | 0.02 | 1.94 | (2.02) | 9.07 | |
| HMN | Horace Mann Educators | (1.15) | 10 per month | 1.34 | 0.11 | 2.13 | (2.23) | 11.51 |
Allstate Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Allstate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Allstate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Allstate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Story Coverage note for Allstate
The number of cover stories for Allstate depends on current market conditions and Allstate's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Allstate is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Allstate's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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