Ambow Education Holding Stock Price Patterns
| AMBO Stock | USD 2.63 0.07 2.73% |
Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 13.431 | Wall Street Target Price 55.39 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.153 |
Using Ambow Education hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ambow Education Holding from the perspective of Ambow Education response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ambow Education to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ambow because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ambow Education after-hype prediction price | USD 2.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Ambow Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Ambow Education After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ambow Education at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ambow Education or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ambow Education, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ambow Education Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ambow Education's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ambow Education's historical news coverage. Ambow Education's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.14 and 7.87, respectively. We have considered Ambow Education's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ambow Education is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ambow Education Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ambow Education Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ambow Education is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ambow Education backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ambow Education, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 5.17 | 0.07 | 0.14 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.63 | 2.70 | 2.66 |
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Ambow Education Hype Timeline
Ambow Education Holding is presently traded for 2.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Ambow is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is forecasted to be 2.66%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Ambow Education is about 1789.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.77. Ambow Education Holding currently holds 8.84 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.45, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Ambow Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ambow Education Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ambow Education's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ambow Education's future price movements. Getting to know how Ambow Education's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ambow Education may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LXEH | Lixiang Education Holding | 2.40 | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 9.09 | (10.34) | 21.38 | |
| YHC | LQR House | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.54 | (6.73) | 29.41 | |
| SANW | SW Seed Company | 0.01 | 6 per month | 17.17 | 0.02 | 33.33 | (31.25) | 116.87 | |
| RPDL | Rapid Line | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.61 | 0.09 | 23.53 | (20.00) | 95.83 | |
| KIDZ | Classover Holdings Class | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 8.77 | (13.33) | 35.31 | |
| STKH | Steakholder Foods | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 11.34 | (12.77) | 31.11 | |
| VAPE | VAPE New | (0.21) | 4 per month | 7.89 | 0.11 | 20.36 | (18.17) | 577.38 | |
| TKLF | Yoshitsu Co Ltd | 0.04 | 2 per month | 3.02 | 0.03 | 7.57 | (5.26) | 17.04 | |
| SBEV | Splash Beverage Group | 0.41 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 15.58 | (14.61) | 74.08 |
Ambow Education Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ambow price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ambow using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ambow charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ambow Education Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ambow Education stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ambow Education Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ambow Education based on analysis of Ambow Education hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ambow Education's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ambow Education's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 12.83 | 15.79 | 18.16 | 30.33 | PTB Ratio | 0.0284 | 0.0446 | 0.0513 | 0.0487 |
Pair Trading with Ambow Education
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ambow Education position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ambow Education will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Ambow Stock
Moving against Ambow Stock
| 0.91 | ZLDAF | Zelira Therapeutics | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | LAUR | Laureate Education Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | AIAGF | Aurubis AG Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | ITNF | Internet Infinity | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | FOOD | Goodfood Market Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | NOSUF | Nerds on Site | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ambow Education could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ambow Education when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ambow Education - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ambow Education Holding to buy it.
The correlation of Ambow Education is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ambow Education moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ambow Education Holding moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ambow Education can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Ambow Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Will Diversified Consumer Services sector continue expanding? Could Ambow diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ambow Education. If investors know Ambow will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ambow Education data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 13.431 | Earnings Share 0.69 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.153 | Return On Assets |
Ambow Education Holding's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Ambow's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Ambow Education's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Ambow Education's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Ambow Education's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Ambow Education represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Ambow Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.