Amc Networks Stock Price Prediction
| AMCX Stock | USD 9.41 0.41 4.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.47) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.46 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.3465 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.6879 | Wall Street Target Price 10.2857 |
Using AMC Networks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AMC Networks from the perspective of AMC Networks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
AMC Networks Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to AMC Networks' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AMC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AMC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AMC Networks. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AMC Networks' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AMC Networks.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AMC Networks to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AMC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AMC Networks after-hype prediction price | USD 9.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AMC |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMC Networks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AMC Networks After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AMC Networks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AMC Networks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AMC Networks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AMC Networks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AMC Networks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AMC Networks' historical news coverage. AMC Networks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.63 and 13.17, respectively. We have considered AMC Networks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AMC Networks is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMC Networks is based on 3 months time horizon.
AMC Networks Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AMC Networks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AMC Networks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AMC Networks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 3.77 | 0.01 | 0.15 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.41 | 9.40 | 0.11 |
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AMC Networks Hype Timeline
AMC Networks is presently traded for 9.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. AMC is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on AMC Networks is about 206.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.56. About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.37. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AMC Networks has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.76. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out AMC Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AMC Networks Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AMC Networks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AMC Networks' future price movements. Getting to know how AMC Networks' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AMC Networks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DIS | Walt Disney | 1.93 | 6 per month | 0.61 | 0.18 | 2.34 | (1.38) | 7.57 | |
| ROKU | Roku Inc | 2.75 | 8 per month | 4.07 | 0.03 | 5.67 | (4.28) | 29.20 | |
| NFLX | Netflix | 7.85 | 6 per month | 1.12 | 0.15 | 2.80 | (2.33) | 13.04 | |
| AMC | AMC Entertainment Holdings | (0.15) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.65 | (3.94) | 11.40 | |
| WBD | Warner Bros Discovery | 0.12 | 10 per month | 2.12 | 0.11 | 7.33 | (3.45) | 18.30 | |
| NWSA | News Corp A | 0.20 | 11 per month | 1.22 | (0.02) | 1.73 | (1.68) | 6.51 | |
| NWS | News Corp B | 0.07 | 10 per month | 1.12 | 0.03 | 1.77 | (1.64) | 6.61 |
AMC Networks Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AMC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMC using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About AMC Networks Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AMC Networks stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AMC Networks, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMC Networks based on analysis of AMC Networks hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AMC Networks's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AMC Networks's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 8.27 | 8.81 | 14.84 | 9.15 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 71.99 | 2.6 | 2.99 | 2.84 |
Story Coverage note for AMC Networks
The number of cover stories for AMC Networks depends on current market conditions and AMC Networks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AMC Networks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AMC Networks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AMC Networks Short Properties
AMC Networks' future price predictability will typically decrease when AMC Networks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AMC Networks often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AMC Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMC Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 570.6 M |
Additional Tools for AMC Stock Analysis
When running AMC Networks' price analysis, check to measure AMC Networks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMC Networks is operating at the current time. Most of AMC Networks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMC Networks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMC Networks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMC Networks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.