Ametek Inc Stock Price Prediction

AME Stock  USD 196.34  0.58  0.30%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Ametek's share price is above 70 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Ametek, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

74

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ametek's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ametek and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ametek's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ametek Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ametek's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.84
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.816
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.3107
Wall Street Target Price
196.408
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.62
Using Ametek hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ametek Inc from the perspective of Ametek response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Ametek Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Ametek's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ametek. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ametek can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ametek Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ametek's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ametek.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ametek to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ametek because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ametek after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 195.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ametek Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
165.55167.02215.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
186.93188.41189.88
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
157.85173.46192.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.701.701.72
Details

Ametek After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ametek at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ametek or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ametek, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ametek Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ametek's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ametek's historical news coverage. Ametek's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 194.29 and 197.23, respectively. We have considered Ametek's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
196.34
194.29
Downside
195.76
After-hype Price
197.23
Upside
Ametek is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ametek Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ametek Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ametek is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ametek backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ametek, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
1.47
  0.41 
  0.10 
9 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
196.34
195.76
0.00 
90.18  
Notes

Ametek Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November Ametek Inc is traded for 196.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Ametek is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 90.18%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ametek is about 352.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 196.44. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Ametek was presently reported as 41.29. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.72. Ametek Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.74. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 2nd of July 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Ametek Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ametek Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ametek's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ametek's future price movements. Getting to know how Ametek's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ametek may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GGGGraco Inc 1.56 9 per month 0.81  0.03  1.69 (1.47) 7.51 
FELEFranklin Electric Co 0.39 8 per month 1.46 (0) 2.34 (1.54) 11.41 
FLSFlowserve(0.01)12 per month 1.21  0.13  3.04 (2.22) 10.24 
DCIDonaldson 1.32 9 per month 0.99 (0.07) 1.69 (1.67) 4.88 
ITWIllinois Tool Works(2.06)11 per month 0.64  0.04  1.53 (1.33) 4.73 
PNRPentair PLC 0.60 10 per month 0.45  0.21  2.15 (1.08) 5.49 
PHParker Hannifin 5.58 10 per month 0.81  0.12  2.18 (1.25) 11.35 
EMREmerson Electric(0.77)9 per month 0.85  0.13  2.15 (1.83) 9.12 
AOSSmith AO(0.26)10 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.11 (2.61) 10.28 
CXTCrane NXT Co(0.98)11 per month 2.04 (0.04) 3.17 (2.41) 10.37 
CIRCIRCOR International 0.11 7 per month 0.48  0.16  7.45 (2.85) 51.68 
ITTITT Inc 0.01 9 per month 1.17  0.07  2.61 (1.53) 9.06 
IEXIDEX Corporation 0.38 6 per month 0.83  0.06  2.38 (1.74) 9.79 
IRIngersoll Rand(0.03)10 per month 1.13  0.06  3.27 (2.10) 7.21 

Ametek Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ametek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ametek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ametek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ametek Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ametek stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ametek Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ametek based on analysis of Ametek hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ametek's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ametek's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0054360.0062850.006060.005757
Price To Sales Ratio6.125.235.766.05

Story Coverage note for Ametek

The number of cover stories for Ametek depends on current market conditions and Ametek's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ametek is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ametek's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ametek Short Properties

Ametek's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ametek's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ametek Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ametek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ametek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding231.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments409.8 M

Complementary Tools for Ametek Stock analysis

When running Ametek's price analysis, check to measure Ametek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ametek is operating at the current time. Most of Ametek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ametek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ametek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ametek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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