American Growth Fund Price Patterns
| AMRCX Fund | USD 5.45 0.01 0.18% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using American Growth hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Growth Fund from the perspective of American Growth response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Growth to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
American Growth after-hype prediction price | USD 6.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
American |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Growth After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Growth at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Growth or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of American Growth, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Growth Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Growth's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Growth's historical news coverage. American Growth's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.64 and 8.66, respectively. We have considered American Growth's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Growth is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Growth is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Growth Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as American Growth is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Growth backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Growth, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.45 | 6.65 | 21.79 |
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American Growth Hype Timeline
American Growth is presently traded for 5.45. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. American is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 21.79%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on American Growth is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.45. Debt can assist American Growth until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Growth's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Growth sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Growth's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out American Growth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.American Growth Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Growth's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Growth's future price movements. Getting to know how American Growth's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Growth may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TVOYX | Touchstone Small Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.60 | 0.14 | 2.19 | (1.33) | 5.01 | |
| RLESX | Us Small Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.59 | 0.16 | 2.42 | (1.43) | 8.47 | |
| APDSX | Artisan Small Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.90 | 0.10 | 2.63 | (1.89) | 13.29 | |
| QUAIX | Ab Small Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.03 | 2.07 | (2.42) | 6.53 | |
| SCYVX | Ab Small Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.60 | 0.15 | 2.43 | (1.61) | 4.78 | |
| BSGSX | Baird Smallmid Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | (0.05) | 1.32 | (1.29) | 3.72 |
American Growth Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About American Growth Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of American Growth stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Growth Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Growth based on analysis of American Growth hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Growth's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Growth's related companies.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in American Mutual Fund
American Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Growth security.
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