Aemetis Stock Price Prediction
| AMTX Stock | USD 4.14 0.11 2.73% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
68
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.40) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.86) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.70) | Wall Street Target Price 12.15 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.42) |
Using Aemetis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aemetis from the perspective of Aemetis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aemetis to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aemetis because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aemetis after-hype prediction price | USD 4.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aemetis |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aemetis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aemetis After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aemetis at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aemetis or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aemetis, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aemetis Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aemetis' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aemetis' historical news coverage. Aemetis' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 10.03, respectively. We have considered Aemetis' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aemetis is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aemetis is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aemetis Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aemetis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aemetis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aemetis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.03 | 6.00 | 0.07 | 0.17 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.14 | 4.07 | 1.69 |
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Aemetis Hype Timeline
Aemetis is presently traded for 4.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Aemetis is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.69%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.03%. The volatility of related hype on Aemetis is about 3545.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.31. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.26. Aemetis had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 4:1 split on the 15th of June 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Aemetis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aemetis Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aemetis' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aemetis' future price movements. Getting to know how Aemetis' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aemetis may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PBF | PBF Energy | 0.63 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.52 | (3.76) | 15.94 | |
| BDCO | Blue Dolphin Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.99 | 0.17 | 15.26 | (9.48) | 45.30 | |
| CLNE | Clean Energy Fuels | (0.06) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.90 | (4.84) | 13.51 | |
| PARR | Par Pacific Holdings | (1.05) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.34 | (5.60) | 14.28 | |
| VTNR | Vertex Energy | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 14.29 | (17.66) | 72.62 | |
| CVI | CVR Energy | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.99 | (5.81) | 28.93 | |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum Corp | (1.19) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.19 | (3.01) | 13.39 | |
| DK | Delek Energy | 0.64 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.53 | (3.90) | 16.10 | |
| VLO | Valero Energy | 0.68 | 8 per month | 2.03 | (0.06) | 2.87 | (3.31) | 11.46 | |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | 0.99 | 7 per month | 1.68 | (0.06) | 1.81 | (2.97) | 7.77 | |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | 1.60 | 9 per month | 1.08 | (0.06) | 2.68 | (1.93) | 5.70 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | 0.21 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.44 | (4.36) | 11.79 | |
| CAPL | Crossamerica Partners LP | (0.33) | 9 per month | 1.21 | (0.03) | 3.11 | (2.23) | 6.78 |
Aemetis Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aemetis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aemetis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aemetis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aemetis Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aemetis stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aemetis, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aemetis based on analysis of Aemetis hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aemetis's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aemetis's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 12.43 | 10.01 | 5.75 | 8.84 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 9.17 | 6.49 | 36.15 | 26.63 |
Story Coverage note for Aemetis
The number of cover stories for Aemetis depends on current market conditions and Aemetis' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aemetis is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aemetis' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aemetis Short Properties
Aemetis' future price predictability will typically decrease when Aemetis' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aemetis often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aemetis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aemetis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 M |
Additional Tools for Aemetis Stock Analysis
When running Aemetis' price analysis, check to measure Aemetis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aemetis is operating at the current time. Most of Aemetis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aemetis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aemetis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aemetis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.