Ampco Pittsburgh Stock Price Prediction
| AP Stock | USD 1.75 0.08 4.79% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4 | Wall Street Target Price 5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.035 |
Using Ampco Pittsburgh hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ampco Pittsburgh from the perspective of Ampco Pittsburgh response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ampco Pittsburgh to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ampco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ampco Pittsburgh after-hype prediction price | USD 1.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ampco |
Ampco Pittsburgh After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ampco Pittsburgh at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ampco Pittsburgh or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ampco Pittsburgh, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ampco Pittsburgh Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ampco Pittsburgh's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ampco Pittsburgh's historical news coverage. Ampco Pittsburgh's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 5.91, respectively. We have considered Ampco Pittsburgh's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ampco Pittsburgh is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ampco Pittsburgh is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ampco Pittsburgh Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ampco Pittsburgh is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ampco Pittsburgh backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ampco Pittsburgh, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 4.16 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.75 | 1.75 | 0.00 |
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Ampco Pittsburgh Hype Timeline
As of November 21, 2024 Ampco Pittsburgh is listed for 1.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Ampco is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ampco Pittsburgh is about 1962.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.72. About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.55. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ampco Pittsburgh recorded a loss per share of 2.38. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2017. The firm had 4:3 split on the 2nd of February 1981. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Ampco Pittsburgh Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ampco Pittsburgh Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ampco Pittsburgh's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ampco Pittsburgh's future price movements. Getting to know how Ampco Pittsburgh's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ampco Pittsburgh may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NWPX | Northwest Pipe | 3.34 | 9 per month | 1.12 | 0.11 | 4.98 | (1.99) | 12.92 | |
| IIIN | Insteel Industries | (0.44) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.60 | (4.52) | 11.16 | |
| CRS | Carpenter Technology | (3.46) | 11 per month | 2.16 | 0.12 | 4.47 | (2.91) | 13.31 | |
| ESAB | ESAB Corp | (1.17) | 9 per month | 1.39 | 0.11 | 3.42 | (2.26) | 15.01 | |
| GIFI | Gulf Island Fabrication | 0.06 | 7 per month | 1.80 | 0.08 | 7.10 | (3.56) | 21.05 | |
| HAYN | Haynes International | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.24 | (0.19) | 0.64 | (0.43) | 1.98 | |
| CMPO | CompoSecure | 0.02 | 10 per month | 2.24 | 0.15 | 4.46 | (2.82) | 20.22 | |
| MEC | Mayville Engineering Co | 0.38 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.55 | (2.95) | 25.65 | |
| MLI | Mueller Industries | (0.45) | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.14 | 3.31 | (1.98) | 16.69 | |
| RYI | Ryerson Holding Corp | (0.32) | 8 per month | 1.95 | 0.11 | 5.05 | (3.34) | 21.43 |
Ampco Pittsburgh Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ampco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ampco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ampco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ampco Pittsburgh Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ampco Pittsburgh stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ampco Pittsburgh, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ampco Pittsburgh based on analysis of Ampco Pittsburgh hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ampco Pittsburgh's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ampco Pittsburgh's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.88 | 0.79 | Dividend Yield | 8.16E-4 | 7.76E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Ampco Pittsburgh
The number of cover stories for Ampco Pittsburgh depends on current market conditions and Ampco Pittsburgh's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ampco Pittsburgh is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ampco Pittsburgh's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ampco Pittsburgh Short Properties
Ampco Pittsburgh's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ampco Pittsburgh's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ampco Pittsburgh often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ampco Pittsburgh's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ampco Pittsburgh's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.3 M |
Additional Tools for Ampco Stock Analysis
When running Ampco Pittsburgh's price analysis, check to measure Ampco Pittsburgh's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ampco Pittsburgh is operating at the current time. Most of Ampco Pittsburgh's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ampco Pittsburgh's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ampco Pittsburgh's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ampco Pittsburgh to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.